На хората, които мислят по този начин препоръчвам тази статия на Economist, които предупреждават, че нещата може да потръгнат добре противно на всеобщото очакване за края на света...
Markets are suffering from a nasty bout of millenarianism
Contrary to popular wisdom, there are reasons to be cheerful
https://www.economist.com/finance-an...millenarianism
"The possibility that markets might be surprised by good news may seem absurd. It is natural to respond to trauma with caution. But this caution can be so extreme that it impairs people’s judgment. In “The Pursuit of The Millennium”, first published in 1957, Norman Cohn showed that outbreaks of millenarianism often followed a big disruption of some kind—a plague, a famine or even a sharp increase in prices. Prophets of doom tend to spring up after disasters. When you have just lived through one trauma, another seems more plausible.
But disaster can breed so much caution that a crisis becomes less likely, says Eric Lonergan of M&G, a fund-management group. He cites the example of the East Asian crisis in 1997-98. The countries it affected went on to make sure they would not be at risk of another balance-of-payments crisis. Likewise, after a crisis as far-reaching as the most recent one, levels of watchfulness among rich-world policymakers militate against the risks of a global recession. “Your prior [assumption] should be for a very long expansion,” says Mr Lonergan."
Markets are suffering from a nasty bout of millenarianism
Contrary to popular wisdom, there are reasons to be cheerful
https://www.economist.com/finance-an...millenarianism
"The possibility that markets might be surprised by good news may seem absurd. It is natural to respond to trauma with caution. But this caution can be so extreme that it impairs people’s judgment. In “The Pursuit of The Millennium”, first published in 1957, Norman Cohn showed that outbreaks of millenarianism often followed a big disruption of some kind—a plague, a famine or even a sharp increase in prices. Prophets of doom tend to spring up after disasters. When you have just lived through one trauma, another seems more plausible.
But disaster can breed so much caution that a crisis becomes less likely, says Eric Lonergan of M&G, a fund-management group. He cites the example of the East Asian crisis in 1997-98. The countries it affected went on to make sure they would not be at risk of another balance-of-payments crisis. Likewise, after a crisis as far-reaching as the most recent one, levels of watchfulness among rich-world policymakers militate against the risks of a global recession. “Your prior [assumption] should be for a very long expansion,” says Mr Lonergan."
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