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Nqma da vidim reverse na 1.0870/80
Gresha. Pone 10 dni oshte shte ima spored men natisk nadolu i to zdrav.A da se kupuvat evra prez tozi period ne e zdravoslovno.
Za men ima dva varianta:
1variant:Ako tekushtoto dvijenie prikluchi okolo 1.0880/70 sledva korekziq max do 1.1040/50 i posle nadolu do okolo 1.08 ili v nai-loshiq sluchai do 1.0730
2variant: ako tekushtoto dvijenie prikluchi malko nad 1.08 sledva korekziq do okolo 1.0930/50 i posle nadolu do 1.0650
Sledva reverse i samo nagore.
Shte mi se da e parviq variant...
Mnenieto mi - ne barzaite da kupuvate evra prez sledvashtite 10 dni.Ili nastrani ili izchakaite poskapvane do okolo 1.1030/50 za vlizane short s zel okolo 1.0820 v parviq variant.
Vchera izbarzah i se radvam,cher se otarvah s 21 pipsa zaguba.
Prichinata da stoq nastrana dokato ne vidq niva ot okolo 1.0830 sa,che mislq,che vcherashnoto poskapvane na $ napravi tezi koito bqha short,veche da sa long.
A lakomiqta e "losho neshto".Koito izbarzahme da zatvorim kasite pozizii,sega shte se radvamer na pechalbite na drugite.
V zakluchenie - puskam limit order na 1.0825(malka poziziq) i otivam da si piq frapeto.
Ako vidim weekly close nad 1.1050 - vlizam v pazara i nqma da sajalqvam,che ne sam kupil evra po-evtinko.Ama tova dnes edva li shte stane.
Da ne obidq nqkoi - no koito kupuva evra predi 1.0830 mi prilicha na tarsach na silni useshtaniq.
Uspeh na vsichki!
nali ostavash v igrata, izobshto da ne ti puka za faliranija account. i na men USD mi izbi zabkite malko. samo 4e malkite pechalbi pravjat golemite zagubi, pone spored men.regards)
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Dmitri
22aug2003
1анти. няма да се притесняваш само. на третия успеха ти е в кърпа вързан
chestit mi faliran parvi acount!!! Az shte sam nastrana pone oshte 7dni po tehnicheski prichini. saveta mi kam vsi4ki e igraite vsqka sdelka sas stop, kolkoto i da ste sigurni i ostavete dobavqneto v gubeshti pozicii...idva edin moment sled kato dobavish nqkolko pati v koito 610 pipsa vatre ti idvat v poveche. Oshte edna preporaka NE MISLETE DALGOSROCHNO I SREDNOSROCHNO...V MOMENTA SE GOVORQT NIVA 1.20-1.04... Vlizaite za po 40-80pipa i posle pak ili slagaite stopove, koito da garantirat malka pechalba. Tova e za sega ot men. I will be back) soon.
мисля, че си прав - може би ще наблюдаваме някои закривания на профитни позиции през деня, което ще клати пазара в различни посоки.
в 1.0953 пресякохме 200day MA....
Куки , виждам, че си ми отговорил , аз съм от провинцията . Форума го следя от около година и половина , но не съм писал, защото отскоро ни прекараха интертит по домовете . Искам да знаеш , че най- много следя твоите прогнози и ти пожелавам много успех.
Amateur - imam edna molba kam teb.
Ako ne te zatrudnqvam,bi li kopiral i postnal vav foruma edin analiz na Karen Jones ot perioda 2.07. - 16.07.2003
Mnogo sam lubopiten...
Blagodarq ti.
С поздрави от мен:
KAREN JONES, TECHNICAL ANALYST, COMMERZBANK
* EURO/DOLLAR: " The euro has broken down through major
support at $1.1080/40 and as a consequence is vulnerable.
Yesterday"s move also eroded the 200 day moving average and we
now target $1.0515 and $1.0080 longer term. Initial support lies
at $1.0770 (50 percent retracement of the move from $0.9608 to
$1.1935). It is oversold, but the market will remain directly
offered while capped by $1.1060."
* DOLLAR/SWISS FRANC: "The dollar has broken higher through
major resistance at 1.4050/90, into new highs for this year. It
remains bid above 1.3830/20, but will find interim support at
1.4015/00. The break above 1.4090 has introduced scope to
1.4340/80 then 1.4850. The RSI at 85 is high and approaching
overbought and we would therefore keep stops relatively
tight."
* STERLING/DOLLAR: "Sterling has eroded its four month
support line, which leaves the recent low at $1.5720 exposed. We
would allow for losses to extend to $1.5670 near term however,
this is the 38.2 percent retracement of the entire move from
$1.3675 to $1.4090. Rallies will find minor resistance at
$1.5860. The outlook will now stay negative while capped by
$1.5970/90."
* DOLLAR/YEN: "The dollar has sold off to 117.68/20. This is
the support line drawn from the 115.05/May low to the
116.65/July 2003 low and the 61.8 percent retracement of the
move from 115.05 to 120.70. It is expected to hold the initial
test and prompt a rebound. Failure here will be significant and
target 116.65 then 115.05. Rallies will find resistance at
118.50/75."
* EURO/YEN: "The euro has continued to plunge lower. It has
met and slightly exceeded its short term downside target of
128.65 - this is the 23.6 percent retracement of the entire bull
move and the 34 month uptrend. The market is oversold and we are
wary of a rebound, however having eroded major support 128.65,
we will assume that the market will stay offered while capped by
130.00 and we cannot rule out an extension to 127.55 near term.
Longer term we target 121.05/119.70."
* EURO/STERLING: "There is some support at 69.20, a support
line drawn from the March low at 67.15 and connects the 68.60
July low. However pressure/focus is now on the downside and
failure at 69.20 will trigger losses to the 68.60 July low.
Rallies will find interim resistance at 69.75 and key resistance
at 70.10/20."
* EURO/SWISS FRANC: "The euro continues to weigh on the
downside and we look for losses back to 1.5365/80 - this is the
61.8 percent retracement of the move from 1.5270 to 1.5515,
which will ideally hold the downside and prompt a rebound.
Failure here would trigger a slide to the more important
1.5270/65 zone. Rallies should find interim resistance at 1.5470
ahead of 1.5515."
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