Валутна търговия - FOREX - АРХИВ

[BIFG]

???

Koko pratih mail

[koko]

Идея

Между другото купувайте EUR/JPY веднага при отваряне на сесията.
Това е поне 100п подарък от мен
Успехи

[koko]

BIFG

Prati mi mail na ak@netbg.com

[koko]

???

Имам една идея от давна за създаване на доста яка фирма. Предлагам всеки който се интерисува да поддържаме контакт на майловете. Идеята ми е елементарна но ще направя като Петър един сайт - но той няма да е изцяло форекс обвързан - за да я изложа и да я обсъдим. Ща се отнася до форекс то там ще бъдат инвестирани не повече от 20% от средствата тоест фонда ще е фенчър но се надявам да намеря единомишленици за идеята. От всеки който се интерисува ще е достатъчно да паддържаме контакт и въобще няма нищо общо с парични обвързаности. Става въпрос за създаване на добре работеща система за търговия въобще и инвестиции. След като обменим идеи ще направим една сбирка примерно на Пампорово-дано завали хубав сняг за ски - на която да обсъдим структурата на фонда - аз ще се постарая да привлеча и чуждестранни инвеститори там. Голямата част от тематиката ще бъде инвестиране в реалната икономика и въобще девирсификация на риска. Всеки който се интерисува от тоз род инвестиция/говоря още веднъж не за пари а за идеи и труд/ е добре дошъл за равностоен партньор.
Усп(ехи
Майла ми е
ak@netbg.com

P.s
Знам че изглежда доста имагенерно но аз лично ще участвам с два бизнеса в идеята което да даде начало/става въпрос за около 50к+/ освен това се надявам че вскеки ще подходи с разбиране и само ако го интерисува ще участва. Моля бъдете така добри да не плюете по идеята а да се включите само ако ви е в интерес. И още веднъж моля да контактуваме по майла а не тук.

[iwo]

???

nalichie na goliamo kolichestvo stopove sled 1.3005 a i porachki na kostenurki - otkata nagore ste e silen - ako li pak ne stigne do nivoto vse ste se izkarat 40 pipsa do zatvarianeto v ponedelnik ot volativnostta

[iwo]

???

ochte poveche kato se ima predvid predpolagaema volativnost okolo 100 pipsa za ponedelnik i vazmogen istoricheski probiv sled niakolko neuspechni

[iwo]

???

edna kasa pri otvariane sas stop reverse na 1.3005 ne bi bila fatalna

[BIFG]

???

Koko pravi6 mnogo dobri analizi. Predi vreme pisa za of6ornite kompanii. Iskam da si napravq i as i bih iskal da me posavetva6. Ako ne ti predstavlqva trudnost mi napi6i e-mail za da se svarja s teb. Jelaq uspeh na vsi4ki

[koko]

Иво

Иво пращам ти една статия която се надявам че ще ти хареса и ще ти помогне при намирането на система от която да печелиш.


The Search for the Holy Grail
- Chris Tate

When traders talk about trading system design and its pitfalls they often talk about the search for the Holy Grail. They talk about the obsession of finding one specific indicator that will guarantee them continual success in the markets. Some software packages even come with indicators that are known as the Holy Grail and this only adds to the mythology of an ultimate indicator. Unfortunately whilst all traders talk of their search for the Grail few actually understand the legend behind this search and even fewer understand its relevancy to trading. And most importantly how understanding the legend can improve trading performance.

Most are familiar with the Christian myth surrounding the Grail and the search for it by knights of the round table. This myth itself first appears in written form in a 12th century French fable entitled Conte del Graal (Story of the Grail), this tale is also known as Perceval and is believed to have been written in about 1180. The myth itself revolves around a vessel from which Christ is supposed to have drunk at his last supper and which was also used to catch some of his blood during his crucifixion. The Grail was then carried to Britain by Joseph of Arimathea, where it lay hidden for centuries. The search for the Grail became the principal quest of the knights of the round table. It was thought that the Grail was guarded by a custodian known as the Fisher King. King Arthur believed that the finding the Grail would cure Camelot of its ills and restore its glory.

Given its supposed history it is easy to understand the importance of the Grail to Christian mythology but the question remains as to why this is important to traders is less obvious. Most traders look merely at the external features of the legend, the fact that it was a fruitless search, the grail was never found. Traders associate this with their quest for the perfect indicator yet this is only half the legend. Being a parable the legend of the grail requires a bit of interpretation. King Arthur send his knights on the quest to enable Camelot to recover. At the time of the quest Camelot was racked by both internal dissent and an external threat. Arthur thought finding the grail would fix these problems. The meaning of the parable is clear it is about the individual not the situation. It is about individuals looking for an external solution to what is an internal problem.

Such a situation manifests itself in traders. How often has the lament been heard, if only I had a better system, or if only I had different data, or maybe if I tried Fibonacci numbers for my moving averages. Many traders have even believed that if they change the colour of their indicators that this will somehow improve their trading. As if altering these external variables will alter their trading performance.

It is undoubtedly true that we need entry signals or setups to enter the market but their importance in trading is vastly overrated. Tomes have been written about signal generation, indicators move in and out of vogue, the current trendy indicator appears to be the moving average ribbon. Charts of price action are now being buried beneath layer upon layer of coloured lines. It is as if by obscuring raw price action traders somehow hope to divine its intent.

Yet Charles LeBeau author of The Technical Traders Guide to Computer Analysis of Futures Markets claims to have tested every possible combination of moving average conceivable and found their performance to be little better than random probability. In any serious testing trend following indicators struggle to have a reliability of above 50%. The MACD histogram, which is thought to be among the best of all indicators, often has a reliability of below 50%. I have personally run a test trading the SPI on an intraday basis by tossing a coin in the morning and found it to be profitable. It is extremely difficult for traders to accept that the tools they use may not be as effective as they thought, or that their methodology may have a reliability below that of simply tossing a coin.

If your trading breaks down then it is more than likely due to some psychological block not your indicators and finding new indicators will not improve your trading. What will improve your trading is an understanding that trading is far more than a search for the ultimate indicator. What has been demonstrated from interviews with top traders is that methodology or the means by which they engage the market is largely irrelevant. What is important is their underlying psychology and how they apply this to the market, it is not what number they use for their moving averages.

Top traders have numerous features in common, they are organized, disciplined, self reliant, analytical. All of these are characteristics of individuals who excel in any endevour but there is one characteristic that truly sets them apart. They are all grown ups, this may seem like a somewhat facetious remark but top traders realize that ultimately their success or more importantly failure comes down to them as individuals. Traders who look for the Grail are looking for an external crutch to lean on and to blame when things go wrong, these are the same sort of people who blame their broker when a trade goes wrong. If you have chosen to take someone else's advice or you believe that indicators are all there is to trading then that is your problem no one else's. No magic indicator will save you from yourself and your own folly.

What will save you is an understanding that internal problems such as a lack of discipline or an inability to accept personal responsibility for your trading cannot be solved by some external solution such as downloading hundreds of indicators for either your Supercharts or Metastock packages.

This is the lesson of the Grail

[koko]

E/$

Мисля че следващата седмица ще станем свидетели на нов рекорд в двойката. Като е твърде е вероятно преди това да има спад до нива 1.2850-80 където е удачното ниво на тоя етап за включване. Много е вероятно при отваряне пазара да тръгне на горе като успее първо да се пребори с предишното най високо ниво 1.3005 като ако това стане то следващата преграда ще бъде 1.3034/1.764 ; 1.1985-1.2444-1.2224/ което ще го отведе до тест на 1.3059 ;0.618 -1.224-1.2841-1.2678 и от тук отново на зад към 1.2933 ; 38.2% на 1.2846-1.2987 а от тук към 1.2917 50% от същото ниво.
Картината на тоя етап е доста неясна но ще се изясни веднага след отваряне на пазара. Едно обаче е ясно - трябва да мислим на горе - единствено пробив на 1.2750 ще отвори път за голямо надолу което е и разумното ниво за включване в голяма къса позиция така че едната търговия е ясна.
SHORT 1.2750 TARGET 1.2550

Успехи

[Пореден]

Turtles and usual suspects

http://www.finmarket.com.ua/files/doc_lib/turtles.doc

Това е на руски,но върши работа.
Считам обаче,че всеки от вас може да я усъвършенства(поне стоповете),
и все пак имайте в предвид,че вече импулса не е така силен и тази система скоро ще е отново неприложима.
Успех и късмет на всички.

[valev]

Turtles and usual suspects

Iwo kade da nameria info otnosno tazi sistema?Ima li neshto izdadeno na balgarski ?

[iwo]

Turtles and usual suspects

sistemata dava pechalba ot momenta kogato napusnahme 1.2460 do sega -nichto chudno da nosi pechalba i do 1 38 - no tova e nai malkoto koeto ima v neia po vagnoto e che e cialostna sistema koiato dava malko poriadak v hausa(1 pat chefa e faliral tochno zastoto e naruchil sistemata , sled 2001 e zagubil okolo 35 % ot novia si kapital zastoto se e pravil na izsledovatel -tova ne znachi che sistemata ne raboti)

[mvp]

Turtles and usual suspects

iwo, 4eti si gi tia kostenurki, sabirai vpe4atlenia, no ne se vjiviavai mnogo. Viarno e 4e pove4eto ot tiah v momenta sa vode6ti i uspe6ni igra4i, no imai predvid, 4e guruto im Richard Dennis na dva pati ve4e e faliral... Prosto sistemata ve4e ne raboti v usloviata na savremenite pazari

[iwo]

e/s

za da se vkliuchat golemite igrachi (da se promeni trenda po dolara)v obratna posoka e neobhodimo probiv kato minimum na 20 dneven diapazon(40 ili 55 dneven) - tova e samo predpologenie