Петрол Брент: Прогноза за ръст до $150-$200

[мечката - беглец]

007, продължавате да раздувате балона с петрола и може да има изгърмели спекуланти, или може би инвеститори ???

[Svetlin]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aXHtz27P1zpc&refer=home

".....Oil yesterday advanced 4.5 percent to $127.79 a barrel. Today's gain eclipsed the price of a barrel of oil on Dec. 10, 1998, when crude traded at $10.72..."

Докато има такива централни банкери като мосю Трюшо (да не се бърка с полицая Крюшо) това ще е положението. да си беше работил като минен ендженер вместо да се прави на банкер.

[0007]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...zpc&refer=home

".....Oil yesterday advanced 4.5 percent to $127.79 a barrel. Today's gain eclipsed the price of a barrel of oil on Dec. 10, 1998, when crude traded at $10.72..."

[0007]

http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/06/news...ex.htm?cnn=yes

Oil surges $11 to record $138
Crude skyrockets on a sliding dollar, geopolitics and a Wall Street report predicting $150-a-barrel oil.
EMAIL | PRINT | DIGG | RSS Subscribe to Economy

feed://rss.cnn.com/rss/money_news_economy.rss
Paste this link into your favorite RSS desktop reader
See all CNNMoney.com RSS FEEDS (close) By Catherine Clifford and Ben Rooney, CNNMoney.com staff writers
Last Updated: June 6, 2008: 4:41 PM EDT


There's no TGIF at the job center
Unemployment spike stirs stimulus talk
Jobless spike deepens economic pain
Oil surges $11 to record $138
Bond-rating agencies agree to reforms
Issue #1 on CNN — This week, 12pm ETWaiting for oil to peak

More Videos

Independence from oil

More Videos
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Oil prices shot up nearly $11 a barrel and settled Friday at a record $138.54 on geopolitical jitters, a dollar decline and a forecast that oil would hit $150 by July 4.

Friday's spike in the July contract for light crude on the New York Mercantile Exchange marks the largest singe-day increase in oil prices on record. The contract hit an intraday record of $139.12, breaking the previous trading record of $135.09.

"The bulls are running rampant and the bears have panicked," said oil industry analyst Stephen Schork, editor of the Schork Report. "It's pure hysteria, absolute panic," he added.

The rally highlighted concerns that retail gas prices, which have surged near a nationwide average of $4 a gallon, will continue to crimp consumer spending and fuel inflation.

Stocks fell more than 400 points Friday due to the rally in crude prices and a report from the Labor Department that showed the unemployment rate rose to 5.5% in May from 5% in April, the biggest monthly jump in more than two decades. The economy lost 49,000 jobs, marking the fifth straight month of job losses.

Meanwhile, the dollar continued its slide versus the euro on the weak jobs report and comments Thursday that the European Central Bank could potentially raise interest rates. The dollar also tanked versus the yen.

Concerns about instability in the Middle East flared after hawkish comments from Israeli Deputy Prime Minister, Shaul Mofaz, about possible attacks on Iran.

Also contributing to the surge: Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) analyst Ole Slorer released a report saying that he expected a "short-term spike in oil prices," as high as $150 a barrel by July 4.

Softening dollar

The dollar began its slide Thursday after European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet said the bank might raise interest rates, which would strengthening the value of the euro. If the euro gains, oil becomes cheaper, European investors buy more oil, raising the price of oil in U.S. dollars, according to Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Alaron Trading.

The "European Central Bank pulled the rug out from under us," said Flynn.

Trichet's comments came the day after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he wanted to try to support the dollar to bring energy prices into check. "The two central banks are out of step with each other," he said.

Global demand, especially for gas and distillates in emerging markets, supported the record build in crude prices.

However, the governments of a number of countries, such as India and Malaysia, have started lifting their government fuel subsidies, prompting gas prices to rise in those nations.

Iran risk premium

Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz told Yediot Ahronot, Israel's largest mass-circulation daily that "If Iran continues its program to develop nuclear weapons, we will attack it."

Mofaz's comments mean the return of the "Iran risk premium," said analyst Antoine Halff in a research report released Friday.

While the market's reaction "seems overplayed," Halff said, the minister's remarks remind traders that "the dispute over Iran's nuclear program remains unresolved and that the risks of military confrontation are indeed increasing."

"This will likely be a growing source of market volatility until a solution to the dispute is found," he added.

Pain at the pump

Gas prices have risen to record levels on the back of record oil prices. The price of crude has more than doubled in the past year.

AAA reported Friday that the national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline fell to $3.986, down 0.3 cent from the previous day's record high of $3.989. Prices at the pump had hit records for 28 of the past 29 days before Friday.

Consumers should expect gas prices to stay at high levels, adding as much as a nickel or a dime in the next couple of weeks, if oil prices continue to march higher, said Flynn.

The AAA survey shows gas prices are up more than 10% from a month ago and more than 27% higher from year-ago levels.

A government supply report released Wednesday said that gasoline demand slackened over the week including Memorial Day, showing that consumers have cut back on their driving in the face of record high gas prices.

The average price for gas has passed the $4 a gallon mark in 12 states, as well as in Washington, D.C. Those states where gas has already passed the $4 include Alaska, California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois, Michigan, Nevada, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Washington, and West Virginia.

The most expensive state for buying gas is California, where a gallon of regular unleaded costs an average of $4.398 according to AAA. The second most expensive state is Alaska, where a gallon of gas costs $4.299.

The least expensive state for purchasing gas is South Carolina, where a gallon costs $3.787 a gallon on average. The second least expensive state for gas is Missouri, where a gallon runs $3.788 a gallon.

First Published: June 6, 2008: 7:07 AM EDT

[0007]

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080606/oil_prices.html


Oil rises jump more than $10 to new record high

Friday June 6, 3:25 pm ET
By Adam Schreck, AP Business Writer

Oil prices shoot past record above $139 a barrel on weak dollar and prediction of price spike


NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices shot up more than $11 to a new record above $139 Friday after Morgan Stanley predicted prices would hit $150 by the Fourth of July. The unprecedented jump is all but certain to drive gas prices well past the $4 mark in the coming weeks.
ADVERTISEMENT


Oil's meteoric surge, which pushed prices more than 8 percent higher in a single day, added to a huge increase Thursday to cap oil's biggest two-day gain in the history of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The burst higher -- which also came on rising Middle East tensions -- also raised the prospect of accelerating inflation by adding to already strained transportation costs.

That gloomy outlook sent stocks tumbling, taking the Dow Jones industrials down more than 300 points.

Light, sweet crude for July delivery jumped as high as $139.12 on the Nymex, before easing slightly to settle at $138.54, up $10.75. Prices hit a previous record of $135.09 a barrel on May 22, and settled Thursday at $127.79.

Prices pushed sharply higher Friday after Morgan Stanley analyst Ole Slorer predicted strong demand in Asia could drive prices to $150 by Independence Day, when millions of Americans are expected to take to the roads. Slorer said shipments from the Middle East are mimicking patterns seen in the third quarter last year, when Morgan Stanley based an oil price spike prediction on falling supplies in the Atlantic.

"We made the same call using the same parameters, but now we are starting from much lower inventory levels," Slorer said.

Traders also zeroed in on remarks by an Israeli Cabinet minister, who was quoted as saying his country will attack Iran if it doesn't abandon its nuclear program. Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz added that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad "will disappear before Israel does," the Yediot Ahronot daily reported.

Iran is the second-biggest producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, and traders worry that any conflict with Israel could disrupt global supplies.

A further weakening of the dollar also helped send oil prices higher by enticing overseas buyers armed with stronger currencies and others looking for a hedge against the greenback. But it also represented a stampede by bullish traders and optimistic computer models betting that prices still have further to rise.

Friday's surge builds on a $5.49 gain Thursday, which was the biggest single-day price increase in the history of the Nymex crude contract. That spike came as the dollar fell after the European Central Bank suggesting it could raise interest rates.

"With oil pushing back up to the mid-$130s, it's the make it or break it point. If we go past that, we set the course for uncharted waters and head up toward $150," said Stephen Schork, an analyst and trader in Villanova, Pa. "

Meanwhile, U.S. gas prices at the pump continued to hover just shy of an average $4 a gallon, easing only 0.3 cent from Thursday's record.

Drivers are now paying an average of $3.99 for a gallon of regular gas nationwide, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service; in many parts of the country, consumers are already paying well over $4. Retail diesel slipped a penny overnight to $4.76.

Pump prices are bound to rise even further if oil sustains its advance. James Cordier, president of Tampa, Fla.-based trading firm Liberty Trading Group, predicted prices could rise to $4.25 as early as the end of the month.

"Unfortunately, drivers cutting back isn't going to lower the price of gasoline any time soon," he said.

The dramatic reversal in what had been a weakening oil market began Thursday after ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet suggested the bank could raise interest rates and the euro climbed against the dollar. When interest rates rise in Europe, or fall in the U.S., the dollar tends to weaken against the euro.

Many traders buy commodities such as oil as a hedge against inflation when the dollar is falling, and a weaker dollar makes oil cheaper for investors dealing in other currencies. Analysts believe the dollar's protracted decline has been a major reason why oil prices have nearly doubled in the past year.

The euro strengthened further against the greenback Friday. A Labor Department report showing the U.S. unemployment rate jumped half a percentage point to 5.5 percent last month -- its biggest monthly increase since 1986 -- could drag the dollar even lower in the days ahead.

"Unemployment jumping as it did today will be in the market for a long time and will continue to pressure the U.S. dollar," Cordier said.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 23.72 cents to $3.918 a gallon while gasoline prices rose 15.7 cents to $3.4915 a gallon. Natural gas futures rose 25 cents to $12.769 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, July Brent crude shot up $7.75 to $135.30 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

[Баба Меца]

Ами повечето компании на БФБ са с П/Е над 8 - вземи Софикс. Единстветно, компании с голяма ликвидационната стойност и голяма сума непреоценени активи, НИ, разбирам да имат П/Е над 8.

Извинявам се не бях разбрал правилно изказването ти .И аз съм на същото мнение.

[0007]

Ами повечето компании на БФБ са с П/Е над 8 - вземи Софикс. Единстветно, компании с голяма ликвидационната стойност и голяма сума непреоценени активи, НИ, разбирам да имат П/Е над 8.

[niki5]

23:00, когато и Dow спира.

благодаря, ще стискаме палци да падне малко

naprotiv neka sa ka4va, za kav da pada

и каква ти е далаверата да се качва пък на теб?Да нямаш някое кладенче в двора?

ne imam si skromna long poziika tam

и колко ще спечелиш?Да не си се качил на новия фонд на Елана?

dnes sam okolo +150%. kupil sam down and out call. sumata mi e skromno, no si zaslugavashe. ste iz4akam 2-3 dena next week i ste go zakrija. njakolko poznati igraha porsche- dnes sa okolo 300%, ama tjah ne gi sledja

[Баба Меца]

На мен, не ми е ясно защо има индустриални и всякакви други компaнии на БФБ, които са в условия на страхотна конкурeнция с чужди компании, изправени са пред остър дефицит на работна ръка и т.н. много други проблеми, защо се търгуват при P/E>8??

Кои са тия компаний ?

[0007]

На мен, не ми е ясно защо има индустриални и всякакви други компaнии на БФБ, които са в условия на страхотна конкурeнция с чужди компании, изправени са пред остър дефицит на работна ръка и т.н. много други проблеми, защо се търгуват при P/E>8??

[Баба Меца]

петрола удари 138,4 долара за барел след дневен ръст от 10 долара

какво следва за икономиката?

Следва в понеделник 3 кинта дизела,а за икономиката .........

[iv_cho]

23:00, когато и Dow спира.

благодаря, ще стискаме палци да падне малко

naprotiv neka sa ka4va, za kav da pada

и каква ти е далаверата да се качва пък на теб?Да нямаш някое кладенче в двора?

ne imam si skromna long poziika tam

и колко ще спечелиш?Да не си се качил на новия фонд на Елана?

[niki5]

23:00, когато и Dow спира.

благодаря, ще стискаме палци да падне малко

naprotiv neka sa ka4va, za kav da pada

и каква ти е далаверата да се качва пък на теб?Да нямаш някое кладенче в двора?

ne imam si skromna long poziika tam

[iv_cho]

23:00, когато и Dow спира.

благодаря, ще стискаме палци да падне малко

naprotiv neka sa ka4va, za kav da pada

и каква ти е далаверата да се качва пък на теб?Да нямаш някое кладенче в двора?

[niki5]

23:00, когато и Dow спира.

благодаря, ще стискаме палци да падне малко

naprotiv neka sa ka4va, za kav da pada