The Economist вижда голям проблем не толкова при американските ДЦК, колкото при джънк облигациите.
Казват, че като настъпи часът на истината и всички се втурнат да продават джънк облигациите - ще открият, че ликвидността се е изпарила и че няма кой да поеме горещия картоф.
https://www.economist.com/news/finan...stors-call-end
Казват, че като настъпи часът на истината и всички се втурнат да продават джънк облигациите - ще открият, че ликвидността се е изпарила и че няма кой да поеме горещия картоф.
Low government-bond yields have pushed investors in search of a higher income into taking more risk. American mutual funds now own 30% of the high-yield bond market, up from less than 20% in 2008. The spread (extra interest rate over government bonds) on these riskier securities is close to its lowest level since before the financial crisis. BlackRock, another fund-management group, says there is “a more favourable environment for issuers at the expense of lenders”, especially as the quality of the covenants protecting lenders has been deteriorating.
With the rate of bond defaults falling, and the global economy doing well, investors probably feel there is little to worry about. But there is a problem: the corporate-bond market is less liquid than it was before 2007, as banks have pulled back from their market-making roles. Investors have found it easy to get into the market in search of higher yields. When the time comes, they will find it much more difficult to get out.
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