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Банда - какво мислите за Total ? Сосен дивидент дават досега, ама догодина не зная как ще стане това - при тоя спад - покрай спадът на горивцето - на печалбицата им? А не са паднали толкоз ного...
Мразете ме ако щете - Гарванът Селдън тоже не са го обичали :-)
Посоката кратко и ясно:
Getting this balance right will be tricky. Ms Yellen likes to emphasise that starting early keeps the journey smooth; abrupt rises later might rattle markets. Yet the Fed’s forecast for rates is steeper than what the market predicts. The Fed’s median rate-setter expects interest rates to rise to around 1.5% by the end of 2016; by contrast, traders expect rates of only 0.85% in a year’s time.
Оразмеряването на тази връзка също е впечатляваща:
If the Fed follows through on its forecasts, though, and raises rates faster than markets expect in 2016, the dollar may well rise further, dampening inflation quickly. Stanley Fischer, the Fed’s vice-chair, recently estimated that a 10% rise in the dollar reduces core inflation by half a percentage point within six months. For all her horizon-gazing, Ms Yellen is unlikely to persist with rapid rate rises if they push inflation too far below target in the short term.
Сега го навържи с тоа, което Вома пише цяла година и ще видиш, че очакванията на ФЕД са абсурдни
Посоката кратко и ясно:
Getting this balance right will be tricky. Ms Yellen likes to emphasise that starting early keeps the journey smooth; abrupt rises later might rattle markets. Yet the Fed’s forecast for rates is steeper than what the market predicts. The Fed’s median rate-setter expects interest rates to rise to around 1.5% by the end of 2016; by contrast, traders expect rates of only 0.85% in a year’s time.
Оразмеряването на тази връзка също е впечатляваща:
If the Fed follows through on its forecasts, though, and raises rates faster than markets expect in 2016, the dollar may well rise further, dampening inflation quickly. Stanley Fischer, the Fed’s vice-chair, recently estimated that a 10% rise in the dollar reduces core inflation by half a percentage point within six months. For all her horizon-gazing, Ms Yellen is unlikely to persist with rapid rate rises if they push inflation too far below target in the short term.
Разбрахме го, нъл скоро заговори за 30-40-50% спадове....
Тцъ, тцъ, трябва да взема по завоалирано да се изказвам Нещо от рода че въпреки дългосрочните перспективи са добри можем да очакваме волатилност и за това човек трябва да е по-предпазлив
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