Първоначално изпратено от Имхотеп
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As the figure shows, when Belene comes online in 2017/18, the model predicts a temporary reduction in prices of around €8/MWh, before prices resume their upward trajectory due to rising commodity prices and a renewed tightening of the supply-demand balance. After 2030, due to rising commodity prices and as continuing demand growth tightens the supply-demand balance, baseload power prices eventually reach the level that incentivises new investment in lignite fired generation. Hence, as the figure shows, the long-run marginal cost (LRMC) of a lignite plant (assuming it runs baseload) is close to the baseload power price on average.
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