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Валутна търговия - FOREX - АРХИВ

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  • fed rates

    17.June.2003

    " Сегодняшние данные позволяют ФРС сократить ставки лишь на 25 пунктов", - считает Ребекка Паттерсон, аналитик рынка иностранных валютам в JPMorgan Chase. Индекс потребительских цен, равно как и другие данные, опубликованные сегодня, игроки на рынке валют могут интерпретировать как 25 -пунктовое снижение ставок, что несколько облегчает тяжелую участь американского доллара. "Если бы они сократили ставки на 50 пунктов, это, вероятно, стало бы последним снижением, но все равно довлело бы над долларом", - говорит Патерсон. Мало того, что такое решение восстановило бы прежнюю разницу с европейскими ставками (имевшую место до последнего решения ЕЦБ - прим PFS), оно бы еще зародило у инвесторов подозрение в том, что ФРС располагает свежей негативной информацией, которую еще не знает рынок. "И тем не менее, риск снижения ставки на 50 пунктов остается", -резюмирует Патерсон.

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    • fed rates

      nali na 24 izlizat vse pak nima li niakakvi o4akvania

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      • fed rates

        Рано е още за това. Ще са по достоверни другата седмица

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        • fed rates

          moge li da mi kagete kakvi sa o4akvaniata za lihvite drugata sedmica ako niakoi znae tnks

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          • Daily perspective

            Петър, има един MiroslavF в демото на MG - да не е от твоите ученици ?

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            • GBP/USD

              Sell GBP/USD 1.6849 s/l 1.6861 t.p.1.6805

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              • Daily perspective

                Напрово си отече денят.

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                • Daily perspective

                  MS , той деня почти свърши

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                  • USD/JPY

                    Ето какво ви предлагам за йената:
                    Покупка в момента с малка позиция , аз лично ще се въздържа
                    в момента / имам да закривам първо / Имам предвид че към края на
                    американския пазар може да има покачване на основните индекси
                    като ДоуДжоунс , който вчера беше +200 и нагоре , а днес успя да
                    стабилиззира, след кратко връщане към обяд.
                    Ако искате да си спестите малко нерви сложете
                    Buy Stop Order 118.33
                    Иначе надолу нещата са така :
                    Buy Limit 117.95
                    Buy Limit 117.50

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                    • FX

                      June 17, 2003
                      Daily perspective
                      n EUR/USD tested the 1.1930 uptrend high and
                      then eased back. However, as long as the MT rising
                      support line at 1.1752 today holds, a new attempt to
                      1.1930 is likely. A break would open a path towards
                      the 1.2225 and 1.2315 resistance levels.
                      n EUR/JPY is likely to come back to the 140.03
                      intermediate resistance area and then to the 140.92
                      uptrend high as long the ST declining pullback line at
                      138.45 today holds.
                      n USD/JPY range-traded above the key 117.35
                      support area. The ST risk remains to the downside as
                      long as the 117.90/118.10 resistance zone holds.
                      n GBP/USD is likely to come back to the upper
                      end of its MT bullish channel at 1.6870 today.
                      Then, we may see a ST downside consolidation.
                      Our MT bullish view calls for a rise beyond 1.7050
                      (Techtonics Special released on June 12th).
                      n USD/CAD is trying the upside after having
                      posted a new downtrend low at 1.3308. However,
                      the risk will remain to the downside as long as the
                      ST declining resistance line at 1.3531 today holds.
                      1.3265/75 is the next key downside target.
                      n EUR/CHF is still expected to challenge the
                      key 1.5480/98 resistance zone again as long as
                      the 1.5390 support area holds. The first key
                      resistance level above 1.5498 is located at 1.5564.
                      EUR/USD: Capped by the 1.1930 uptrend high
                      Following the break
                      above the ST declining
                      resistance line, EUR/USD
                      accelerated to the
                      1.1930 uptrend high as
                      expected and then
                      backed off sharply.
                      This calls for caution
                      since a potential double
                      top at 1.1930 is in place.
                      However, as long as the
                      MT rising support line at
                      1.1752 today holds, a
                      new attempt to the
                      1.1930 resistance area is
                      likely. Intermediate
                      resistance levels stand at
                      1.1855 and 1.1900.
                      A break above 1.1930
                      would confirm the
                      resumption of the MT
                      uptrend towards the
                      1.2225 and 1.2315
                      targets.
                      3rd Support 2nd Support 1st Support Last 1st resistance 2nd Resistance 3rd Resistance
                      1.1729 1.1752 1.1805 1.1823 1.1855 1.1900 1.1930

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                      • fed rates

                        Currency - Daily Techtonics
                        17 June, 2003 3
                        1
                        GBP/USD: ST upside limited
                        In the wake of its break
                        above the 1.6790
                        resistance area, GBP/USD
                        tested the upper end of
                        its MT bullish channel
                        and then eased back.
                        However, as long as the
                        1.6700 support area (or
                        even the immediate
                        1.6745/50 support zone)
                        holds, a new test of that
                        MT rising resistance line,
                        coming at 1.6870 today,
                        is expected.
                        Then, we may see a ST
                        downside consolidation
                        before GBP rises again.
                        Our MT view remains
                        bullish and the recent
                        break above 1.6790 has
                        opened a path towards
                        the upper end of the LT
                        bullish channel near
                        1.7056 this week.
                        3rd Support 2nd Support 1st Support Last 1st resistance 2nd Resistance 3rd Resistance
                        1.6636 1.6700 1.6745/50 1.6757 1.6870 1.6912 1.6943
                        USD/CAD: Dip and fragile bounce
                        USD/CAD bounced after
                        having posted a new
                        downtrend low at
                        1.3308, not far away
                        from the 1.3265/75 MT
                        downside target.
                        However, as long as the
                        ST declining resistance
                        line, coming at 1.3531
                        today (or even the intraday
                        resistance area at
                        1.3465) holds, the ST
                        bias remains negative.
                        However, the ST
                        downside seems limited
                        to the 1.3265/75
                        support zone.
                        3rd Support 2nd Support 1st Support Last 1st resistance 2nd Resistance 3rd Resistance
                        1.3265/75 1.3300 1.3360 1.3443 1.3465 1.3531 1.3675
                        LT bullish channel
                        MT bullish
                        channel

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                        • fed rates

                          moge li da mi kagete kakvi sa o4akvaniata za lihvite drugata sedmica

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                          • gbp/chf

                            струва ми се удачно влизане на дълги...

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                            • triple top

                              Стига с тия вицове бре.... ,
                              Я по добре се поогледайте и вижте какво следва да се играе
                              сега ? Май идва ред на йената отново.....
                              След малко ще ви кажа какво имам в предвид

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                              • triple top

                                ?,
                                http://www.forex-kiev.narod.ru/#humor

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