Валутна търговия - FOREX - АРХИВ

[bertram]

USD

zadraveite,
poneze generalno sum za eur/usd da hodi nadolu - mislq da kupq USD/CHF -tuk pone lihvata e v moq polza, a i chf baia drupna tiq dni.
kupuvam i gbp/chf ot tekushti niva 2.2365. (lihvata e super, a i nivata sa suvsem ponosimi za dulgosro4na poziciq)
USD/CAD izlqzoh ot dulgite na 1.2580 i sega sum slozil buy order na 1.2505 s dobavqne na 1.2405.
pozdravi i uspeh na vsi4ki

[supertrader]

Do iwo

1.225 trydna rabota , no i az imam edni kasi $ i gi darja no na 1.2440 shte gi zatria sam reshil , vsichko zavisi ot 15 30 h i sled tova ,no naistina ako eur pak poskapne v GE prosto niama da imat ikonom ochakvania , ZEW triabva da otide pod 0 , skapoto eur e mnogo losho za zonzta -xrani bezraboticata ..

[supertrader]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

1.25XX ne stava za otigravane , kakto vsichki sa na mnenie che niama saprotivi za tam , shte se okaje trydno dostijimo , i naistina triabva probiv na 1.2490 , no kaskva e garanciata che nagore ima 100p , po dobre 1.25xx kas vxod , no vseki ima pravo da reshi ...Yspex i v dvete posoki...

[mario]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

-DR,Forex,
Всеки трябва да има лично мнение за пазара.
Не искам никого да заблудя!
Намалих си лимитите на -1.2560 и 107.90.
Аз не слушам никой,но неминуемо се влияя от новините които
излизат(това става несъзнателно),но те подтвърждават тех. анализа
който си правя сам и на който вярвам повече.
Не зная дали съм прав,както забелязвате входовете са ми много
далече с което се застраховам от случайна волантилност,НО
не е изключено да ме закачи с малко и тогава лошо гошо.
Подкрепям Zvan ,мисля че пак много се бърза.

ТОВА Е САНО МОЕ ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ!!!
Поздрави и успех

[Zvan76]

AUD/USD

Vnimavaite s tazi dvoika,az tarsia vhod za skasiavane,ne mislia che e doshlo vreme vse oshte,
da ne stane kato s USD/CAD,mislia che kato nishto she vidim 0.75 pri AUD/USD.

[iwo]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

mislia si che dnes ste vidim 1.2250

[Forexa]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

Марио, аз също мисля да вляза къс в USD/JPY, но според мен е твърде вероятно да пробваме 110.00, преди да отидем около 109.00, така че ще изчакам малко!!!
Успех!!!

[-DR]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

Mario Сигурен ли си ?????Вероятно ще те послушам-дано не ми развалиш настроението..
Успех !!!!.

[mario]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

Не се сдържах и си пуснах поръчки:
eur/usd-buy stop-1.2485 ; limit-1.2584
usd/jpy-sell stop -108.75 ; limit-107.75
0.10 lot и за двете,като смятам да ги отиграя без стоп.
Това е лично мое предположение с което не ангажирам никого!!!
Поздрави и успех

[iwo]

e/s

golemite pechalbite na bankite v usa sa i ot potrebitelski krediti - vargete go kam dnechnite danni ako gelaete

[iwo]

e/s

dobro ytro i yspechen den

[Forexa]

AUD/USD

Poreden, и аз съм къс тук, но от 0,7296! Дано тръгне надолу, защото на 1h i 4h на няколко пъти ми се стори, че стоповете около 0,7325-0,7335 са твърде уязвими!!!
Успех!!!

[mario]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

Дано никой не сърди,само инфо
00:10 15.10.2004


Большое количество макроэкономической статистики по США, будет представлено участникам рынка в пятницу, а именно:

обзор по сектору обрабатывающей промышленности NY Fed Empire State: прогноз +25.00; пред. значение 28.34

розничные продажи, включая продукты питания за неделю на 4 сентября: прогноз +0.7%; пред. значение -0.3%
розничные продажи и продажи продуктов питания за исключ. автомобилей за неделю на 4 сентября: прогноз +0.3%; пред. значение +0.2%

PPI за исключ. продуктов питания и энергии за неделю на 4 сентября: прогноз +0.2% мм +1.7% гг; пред. значение -0.1% мм +1.5% гг
объем промышленного производства за неделю на 4 сентября: прогноз +0.4%; пред. значение +0.1%

использование производственных мощностей за неделю на 4 сентября: прогноз 77.5%; пред. значение 77.3%
потребительские настроения за неделю на 4 октября: пред. значение 94.2

потребительское доверие от университета Мичиган: прогноз +94.5; пред. значение 94.2
август, коммерческие товарные запасы: прогноз +0.6%; пред. значение +0.9%

Аналитики предполагают, что именно розничные продажи, данные Мичиганского университета и потребительские настроения станут фокусом рынка. "Лично я буду смотреть именно на эти цифры", - говорит Ти Джей Марта из RBC Capital Markets. Некоторые аналитики полагают, что данные по розничным продажам могут внести некоторый "фактор внезапности". "Цифры в районе +0.8% будут долларовым позитивом, в то время как +0.3% станут, вероятно, неблагоприятными для американской валюты", - добавляет представитель RBC Capital Markets. Однако аналитик сомневается, что опубликованные данные окажутся способными вытряхнуть евро из установленного диапазона. "Если торговый баланс не сделал этого, то я думаю, что сегодняшние данные также не принесут на рынок ничего нового", - резюмирует господин Марта

[...]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ за ПЕТЪР КАРАИВАНОВ

Здравей Шмекер

[mario]

ЛИЧНО МНЕНИЕ

Получено вчера :
By Kathy Lien and Adam Rosen, Currency Strategists for Dailyfx

MARKET COMMENTARY



TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Based upon weekly charts)



EUR/USD Weekly



The EUR/USD began the week with a break below the 1.2350 line during the London session, due largely to broad based dollar short covering. Throughout the week the pair hovered around the psychologically significant 1.2300 handle, which provided a mean level for the pair to revert to during the majority of the week. The 1.2330 level, which is also coincides with the 50% fib retracement (from the 1.29-1.18 move) provided short term resistance while the pair found support around the 1.2250/60 area. On Friday, the pair was able to break above the trendline (down from the January 1.29 high), find initial support there, and then continue to break hard through 1.2350 and close well above the 1.24 handle for the week.



With the weekly chart showing a long-term bullish triangle formation, the 26 and 52-week SMA converging, and given the fact that the past two weekly candles have closed well above the trendline (down from the January 1.29 high), the pair could be poised for a significant break to the upside. However, due to overbought conditions in the short term as well as the 68.1% fib line at 1.2450/60 providing formidable resistance, it is likely that the pair will trade off a bit in the near future. Should this recent move above the 1.24 handle fail to find support at the recent trendline, the next significant support level remains around 1.2330/50. The 1.2250 level provides significant support, while 1.2200 has been the midpoint of the sideways price action during the second half of 2004.




USD/JPY Weekly

For the majority of the week the yen traded sidways in a 50 pip range between 111.00 and 111.50, but what began as a relatively quite week for the yen, the pair ended up plummeting more than 200 pips, taking out several significant support levels. With increasing concerns over the price of oil last week, the pair continued in its choppy ascent through the 111.00 handle. The pair tested as high as 111.50 on the ask before modestly trailing off into a sideways consolidation. Rumors of CNY revaluation provided a catalyst for a hard break through the 111.00 handle. The pair paused briefly enough to turn 110.50 from support into resistance, then continued down another 100 pips to end the week at 109.30, the 76.4% fib line, which provided solid support.



While for the majority of 2004 price action for USD/JPY has lacked a clear trend, mostly trading sideways, it is becoming increasingly evident that potential downside risk exists for the pair. On the weekly chart, the pair has failed to close above the trendline (down from the 2002 high), which now coincides with the 38.2% fib line (from the 120.00-104.50 move) at 110.50. In addition, a double top (with high wicks) has formed by combining the highs from the weekly candles closing on 7/30 and 10/8.




GBP/USD Weekly



The cable traded in a 200-pip range during the past week, although managing to open and close around roughly the same level (1.7950 for the week) still below the trendline (down from the July 1.8750 high). After a solid break of the 1.79 handle at the beginning of the week, cable flirted with the 1.78 handle before finding support at the 4 week low of 1.7750. General dollar weakness held the pair afloat towards the end of last week?s trading, however cable remains significantly lower than the 1.80 handle and, just as importantly, below the neckline of the ominously bearish head and shoulders pattern.



With dollar weakness unable to hold up the GBP (relative to the EUR) in recent weeks, more downside risk exists for cable with near term support at 1.7750 and, more significantly, the May low of 1.7550. As the 26 and 52 week MA?s converge, failure to close above the 1.8000 handle in the coming week would prove to be bearish, while a significant break of the recent support line around the 1.7750 area would confirm a continuation of the recent downtrend.




USD/CHF Weekly



As former support from mid-September, the 1.2550 level held as significant resistance until massive short covering took place on the Frankfurt open to start the week. The pair finally found resistance at the 1.2675 level, where it ranged mostly between 1.2650 and 1.2610, which represent the 61.8% and 50% fib lines (from 1.2772 to 1.2450 move) respectively. On Friday, the pair gave back the entire week?s gains, breaking back through 1.2550, and settling around the 1.25 handle to close the week.



As significant resistance exists at the convergence of the 26 and 52- week SMA and the upper trend line (down from the 2001 high) at 1.2710, the pair has room to fall. There is much less upside risk considering the fact that the pair has failed to break that trendline despite numerous attempts. Interesting to note (given the usual negative correlation between EUR/USD and USD/CHF), is the relative sideways price action in the USD/CHF as compared to the recent EUR/USD uptrend.



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