Валутна търговия - FOREX - АРХИВ

[bnight]

Election

feelgood as ako zalgah na tova koeto postvat drugite da sym se samoubil do sega hilqda pyti prosto mi se vidq razumno i re6ih da opitam za6toto nqmam izbor razbira6 li i as tova 4akam ako mi be6e 4el postovete po na dolo 6te6e da vidi6 kakva mi e prognozata. samo 4e ne mogah da vlqza v ponedelnik za6toto se kolebaeh.

[feelgood]

Election

bnight,naistina li zalagash na tova koeto postvat drugite?

[bnight]

Election

vse o6te li ras4ita6 na 1,28 mai pove4e tova nivo nqma da go vidim. Za syjelenie mai kysite sa po dobrata investiciq no nqma zna4enie. 6te stiskam palci i na krakata da se obyrnat ne6tata.

[koko]

Election

* 15:00 Sep Factory Orders (mkt +0.4% m/m, prev -0.1%)
* 15:00 Oct ISM Non Mfg Index (mkt 58.5, prev 56.7)
[EVENTS]
* 12:00 MBA Refi Index for Oct 29 Week (prev +3.6%)
* 15:00 Treasury"s Bitsberger on Quarterly Refunding Announcement
* 15:30 Weekly EIA Petroleum Status Report
[ISSUANCE]
* 14:00 Treasury Refunding Announcement (e $51 bln)

[K]

e/d

21:53 02.11.2004

Опрос 68, главным образом, европейских FX-диолеров по вопросу реакции рынка на результаты американских выборов показал следующие результаты. При этом за точку отсчета взята отметка $ 1.2700 по евро/доллару. Победа Буша, как ожидается, подтолкнет доллар выше на 0.75 %, то есть к $1.2605, (медиана); 68 % респондентов ожидают рост доллара при победе Буша. Напротив, победа Керри должна подтолкнуть доллар вниз на 0.39 % к $ 1.2750 (медиана), 51 % голосовавших ожидают, что доллар упадет при победе Керри. Из оставшихся, 37 % видят доллар растущим после победы Керри и 12 % заявляют, что доллар останется неизменным. Оспариваемый результат побудил бы долларовые потери на 1.18 %, до $ 1.2850 (медиана); 90 % проголосовавших предвидят падение доллара при таком исходе событий.

[koko]

Election

На демо играя с дълъг ауд и тои изби рибата даже съжалявам че вместо еврото не играх на ауд

[feelgood]

Election

te i kusite sa samnitelni, vsichko e na kantar

[koko]

Election

Може да стане съмнително едва при избор на президент когато о4акванията подкарат лавината

[bnight]

Election

KOKO tiq dylgi stanaha mnogo symnitelni prosto ne e istina kolko mnogo ama kakov da se pravi stiskam zybi i tova e.

[koko]

Election

za sega Kerry 262 Bush 261

[Марио Димитров]

Election

CHICAGO (AFX) - The dollar was mixed Tuesday as uncertainty surrounding
what's expected to be one of the closest presidential races in U.S. history
limited aggressive trading in the currency market.
Some observers expect the dollar to rise immediately if either President Bush or
Sen. John Kerry is decisively announced the winner after the results are turned
in Tuesday night. Worries have persisted about a repeat of the prolonged
recounting process in the 2000 election.
"I think that whoever wins the election, the immediate reaction would be that
the dollar would gain because that would clear some uncertainty," said Kikuko
Takeda, manager of the foreign exchange and treasury division at Bank of
Tokyo-Mitsubishi in Tokyo.
The dollar trimmed its loss against the yen and furthered its advance against
the euro and the Swiss franc after a private-sector report showed a drop in U.S.
layoffs last month.
Layoff announcements fell 5.6 percent in October to 107,863, outplacement firm
Challenger Grey & Christmas said Tuesday. Despite the decline, layoffs remained
above 100,000 for the second straight month, for the first time since Jan.-Feb.
2003.
There were no major U.S. government economic reports due for release Tuesday. .
In late-morning North American trading, the dollar was quoted at 106.32 yen,
down 0.1 percent compared with late U.S. trading Monday. The dollar has ranged
between 106.76 yen and 106.22 yen.
The greenback gained 0.4 percent against Europe's shared currency; one euro was
trading at $1.2696. The euro has been confined within a relatively narrow band
of $1.2747 and $1.2691.
The dollar was worth 1.2074 Swiss francs, a gain of 0.5 percent from its late
U.S. quote Monday. The dollar slipped 0.3 percent against its U.K. counterpart;
one pound would buy $1.8377.
Mixed implications from election
Some currency traders predicted the dollar could rise if Bush wins because Kerry
is seen potentially implementing more protectionist trade policy, pressuring the
dollar. Bush and Kerry have had mixed records on trade, with Bush imposing steel
tariffs that he later removed.
Other analysts have said the Bush administration's willingness to let the dollar
depreciate even while lauding the benefits of a strong currency points to
further long-run declines for the greenback. Many analysts say dollar
depreciation is necessary to help rebalance the global trade picture.
A Bush win could also send stocks higher, boosting demand from foreigners for
the dollars needed to place U.S. equity investments.
"How sustainable [post-election dollar] gains could prove to be will rely on a
number of economic factors, although if crude holds below $50, this would
certainly offer support on the upside," said Chris Callander, senior foreign
exchange dealer with CMC Group in New York.
The dollar, which fell to six-month lows against the yen and eight-month lows
against the euro last week, stabilized this week as crude oil prices fell below
$50 a barrel for the first time in a month.
Record-high prices above $55 a barrel raised uncertainty for the economies of
Japan and the U.S. because they are particularly sensitive to the rise and fall
of global consumer and business spending.
Confidence in the U.S. economy is considered key to funneling foreign money into
the U.S., which is necessary to offset the nation's trade deficit.
German retail sales decline
The euro slipped further during European trading hours after a report on German
retail sales was weaker than expected.
Economists expected sales to be flat after September's unexpected 1.1 percent
gain. But October figures declined 0.4 percent.
"The rise in energy costs is clearly hurting domestic demand in the euro zone's
largest market by both diminishing the purchasing power of consumers and
compelling businesses to decrease payrolls," said Boris Schlossberg, currency
analyst with Forex Capital Markets in New York.
"The depressing end result of this dynamic is that consumer spending in Germany
has not gained more than 0.1 percent in any quarter dating back to June 2003."
In its annual report on the German economy Tuesday, the International Monetary
Fund trimmed its forecast for Germany's real growth in 2004 gross domestic
product to 1.9 percent from 2 percent. This is still much higher than the
lackluster growth rate of the past three years.
The forecast for real GDP growth next year has been lowered to a 1.5 percent
rate from a previous estimate of 1.8 percent.
For now, analysts said the U.S. election was even overshadowing the often
market-moving monthly U.S. jobs report, which is due Friday. The latest report
is expected to show the U.S. economy added 176,000 jobs last month, according to
a survey conducted by CBS MarketWatch.
The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee is largely expected to raise its fed
funds target by a one-quarter point to 2 percent Nov. 10.
A jobs report that shows 150,000 or more jobs were created would cement a
November rate increase, said Takeda

[koko]

Election

Having rebounded from a probe of 1.2680, EUR/USD is trading quietly
around 1.2700. The focus this afternoon is on unwinding safe haven trades as
gold falls nearly 9 bucks and the CHF weakens. EUR/USD is getting caught up in
the cross flows, limiting outright movement.
A clear victor in tonight"s election should give the USD a short-term boost, but
expect the focus to turn quickly back to the twin deficits which will remain an
overhang on the USD for the foreseeable future regardless of the winner

[feelgood]

Election

broiat vulni i opuvat fibo, ne govoriat ei taka.

[koko]

Election

Теди това за златото е вярно - то направи двоен връх.
Ефектът се изчислява на база на простият индекс на долара
Примерно
EUR/USD е 1.2700 и XAU/USD 425
time period на index е 100
Нека EUR/USD порасне от1.2700 с 5% златото XAU/USD с 15%
(105 for EUR/USD * 0.5) + (115 for XAU/USD * 0.5) =
52.5 + 57.5 = 110
Сега как се отразява това на валутите
Euro 57%
Yen 14%
Pound 12%
CAD 9%
SEK 4%
CHF 4%

[ico72]

Election

Saxoto си повтарят от 4 ,5 мес насам че долара ще пада и това си е . И Робърт "банана" ,а сега и John все едно и също казват