Валутна търговия - FOREX - АРХИВ

[koko]

Добро утро

И аз скъсих е/д пак, движението ми изглежда незавършено въпреки че на дневна има индикации. Стопа ми е на 1.291

[Ал.]

Добро утро, че дане стане добър вечер...

Още е рано /за прогнозата/, но на дневна виждам сигнали за обръщане на тренда на двойката GBP/JPY, по- късно, при повече сигурност, пак ще се включа по въпроса / не забравям, че всеки сам си я играе тази игра.../ !!! ;-)

[NokoMMent]

Добро утро

С къса съм на Е/Д.Препорачайте каде да сложа стопа

[looser]

Чудя се къго да го скъся този долар и какво да видя Саймън казал с астралиеца Замислям се малко и прав е Коев. Ще опитам и аз така.
Успех!

[BROKE]

Добро утро

dobro i ot men.losho e che opcionnata bariera na 1.28 izticha na 22.04 a predi tova imame mnogo novini ot usa.namirisva mi za dalgi no sthe izchakam qsen signal kasata mi q mahnah s 25p zaguba.Sas sigurnost sthe ima vrasthane do niva 1.34 a moje i poveche.Uspeh na vsichki kolegi.

[looser]

Добро утро

Добро утро, колеги! Мисля, че долара ще яде бой по всички фронтове днес. Време му е!
Успех!

[Марио Димитров]

info

FOREX-Dollar rally runs out of steam after hitting peaks
Wed Apr 6, 2005 02:13 AM ET
By Hideyuki Sano
TOKYO, April 6 (Reuters) - The dollar's rally stalled on Wednesday as traders locked in gains after the currency hit a five-month high against the yen and a two-month peak versus the euro the previous day.

The dollar rose to 108.90 yen on Tuesday, its highest level since Oct. 19 and up more than 5 percent in less than a month on hopes that the Federal Reserve might boost the pace of its credit tightening to nip inflation at the bud.

But the perception that the rally may have gone too far too fast prompted traders to take profits, especially after Fed chief Alan Greenspan did not mention the threat of inflation when he talked about soaring oil prices late on Tuesday.

"The market will need fresh dollar-supportive factors, such as a faster pace of credit tightening to push up the dollar," said Kikuko Takeda, market economist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.

By 0554 GMT, the euro fetched around $1.2875 , up a tad from late New York trade. It hit a two-month low of $1.2800 on Tuesday, according to electronic trading platform EBS.

The dollar bought around 107.95 yen , down 0.2 percent and near the day's low of around 107.90 yen.

Dealers said dollar-selling picked up a touch after the Bank of Japan kept its ultra-loose monetary stance unchanged, but said that the decision was not unanimous, the first split-vote since January 2004.

"Some people are viewing this as a sign that there is a bit of dissent in the BOJ, which could suggest a change in monetary policy is not that far around the corner," said Luke Waddington, head of forex dealing at Royal Bank of Scotland in Tokyo.

MOVING ON RATES

Still, most in the market expect no rise in Japanese interest rates for at least another year, and see the dollar staying well supported by its status as the only major currency whose rates are expected to rise significantly this year.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its key rate steady on Wednesday, while both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to maintain their policies on Thursday. The biggest mover on Wednesday was the Australian dollar.

The Aussie dipped to just above Tuesday's two-month low of 76.28 U.S. cents after the RBA held rates at 5.5 percent, wrongfooting many who had expected a rate rise. It later sprung back to around 76.55 , erasing half its losses.

"The Australian dollar is still a high-yielding currency. So I don't think it is going to fall below $0.75," said Takashi Toyahara, forex manager at Nomura Securities.

Some dollar bulls were disappointed after Greenspan did not voice concern about inflation when he discussed the impact of oil prices on the U.S. economy.

The Fed chief said that energy market developments would "remain central" to the long-run health of the economy, but that as prices rise the economy's dependence on energy would lessen.

Some economists said worries over U.S. inflation may be overdone and that soaring oil prices may actually stifle growth.

"With the expansion in U.S. employment slowing, inflation is unlikely to accelerate much," said Takeda at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.

Greenspan speaks for a second time this week when he testifies on regulatory reform of government-sponsored enterprises before the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday.

The Fed has raised rates by a quarter percentage point seven times since June, boosting its base lending rate to 2.75 percent and helping to suppress worries about large and growing U.S. fiscal and current account deficits. (Additional reporting by David McMahon)


© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved.

[Yulian A]

info

THEMES TO WATCH – UPCOMING SESSION

With the move back through 1.2850/60, EUR/USD and other USD pairs look like they may be in the process of turning around. JPY has strengthened almost across the board, which may be attributable to the latest move in energy prices, but the fact that CHF has also strengthened against EUR and GBP suggests that the market is quietly beginning to unwind the carry trades.

Watch out for Germany Factory Orders at 10:00 GMT today as well as Greenspan's potentially important speech at 14:00 GMT on the GSE's. Always important as well are the energy markets, with the release of Weekly US supplies crude and other supplies up at 14:30 GMT. A big move either way in energy is a constant wild-card threat.

[forexboy]

GBP/JPY

http://www.alpari.org/ru/analytics/forecast/2820.html

[badboy]

къса Е/Д 1.2866

Къса от 1,2872

[АСТОР33]

GBP/JPY

Хиксовете,тук ли си?
Двойката се омаза.
В близките долара е губещата карта.
И май йената ще е малко по силна от паунда.Освен ако днес не видим 204 което обаче е много малко вероятно.

[10 пипса]

къса Е/Д 1.2866

А ти си писал вече

[Yulian A]

къса Е/Д 1.2866

Удари ми стопа = -24 п

[10 пипса]

къса Е/Д 1.2866

Yulian A, извади ли 15 пипса от тази позиция или я държиш още?

[Yulian A]

E/D

Снощи направих вход къса Е/Д от 1.2866 ,сл 1,2890 и без т/п.Можеше да се извади позицията на 1.2840,което е в мой стил,но е трябвало да се дежури пред PC - то.По всички правила на науката би трябвало стопа да се сложи над 1,2915,аз обаче го сложих над макс.за деня.А сега като гледам,ще се окаже,че за 1 пипс стопа е паднал.
Подходих лекомислено и извода е ,че лекомислието води до глупави загуби на пипсове,респективно пари.