Петрол Брент: Прогноза за ръст до $150-$200

[MILOM]

Тексаският петролен магнат Т. Буун Пикенс обяви програма за справяне с високите цени на петрола.

Нещо, което той нарече „Планът на Пикенс" за намаление на зависимостта на САЩ от доставките на чуждестранен петрол.

В плана, който милиардерът споделя в новия си сайт www.pickensplan.com, той си поставя за цел да намали зависимостта на САЩ от чуждестранните доставки на черното злато с повече от една трета до края на десетилетието, като използва за заместител силата на вятъра.

Според него американците плащат по $700 милиарда годишно за чуждестранен петрол, което им вреди като на нация.

Ето защо Пикенс иска да повдигне въпроса и да го направи толкова значим, че да стане най-важната част от предизборния президентски дебат тази година.

Пикенс е директор на хедж фонда BP Capital Management, и е 369 в класацията на богаташите на Форбс със състояние от $3 милиарда.

Той стана през последните две години най-големият производител на вятърна енергия в САЩ.

Спопред Пикенс вятърната енергия е ключът, защото тя може да бъде използвана като заместител на природния газ, от който в момента се произвежда електричество, а пък той може да замести петрола като основен източник на гориво за автомобилите.

Милиардерът планира да произведе достатъчно вятърна електроенергия за следващите 10 години, за да пренасочи 20% от използвания в момента природен газ за използване в колите и автомобилите.

Това е повече от амбициозна програма, която далеч надхвърля плановете на Министерството на енергетиката на САЩ, което не предвижда подобно увеличение на употребата на вятърна енергия и до 2030 година.

Пикенс предварително отговори на критиките, така:"Аз съм на 80 години и имам $4 милиарда, не го правя за пари."

След публикуването на информацията американският лек суров петрол започна да поевтинява, като достигна $139.13 за барел или с 1.58% понижение от вчера.

[luckyboy]

урагана да не се е разминал или защото 4.07. мина и прогнозата от 150$ не се осъществи
аве къде е батко ( 0007 ) нещо взе да ми липсва

[ANDREI]

Intervenciqta e v hod !

По-конкретно? Чия интервенция? Много ми е интересно...

На баба,дядо , внуче и куче !

[alexandar]

Абе нали имаше ураган в Мексиканския залив кво става?

[Гари]

138 и пада

[u00]

колко е днес цената?

[bate_nasko]

Intervenciqta e v hod !

По-конкретно? Чия интервенция? Много ми е интересно...

[cityindex]

течеееееееее, всичко течееееееееее ......

много сме силни сме,
печеля аз = печелят всички

[ANDREI]

Intervenciqta e v hod !

[fut]

BERLIN: German insurance giant Allianz expects the oil price to hit 200 dollars a barrel in the next two years, according to a press report to be published Monday.

"I cannot imagine that post-2010 we will have an oil price of below 200 dollars a barrel in the long term," Allianz board member Joachim Faber told Monday's edition of a newspaper.

In May, US investment bank Goldman Sachs's star analyst Arjun Murti also predicted that the oil price could strike 200 dollars within the next two years.

"The possibility of 150-200 dollars per barrel seems increasingly likely over the next six to 24 months," he said in a research note.

On Thursday, the oil price soared to new records on the back of a weak dollar and supply concerns, reaching 146.69 dollars a barrel in London and 145.85 dollars in New York.

[fut]

Don’t blame the speculators
Jul 3rd 2008
From The Economist print edition


Politicians who try to make oil cheaper by restraining speculation will just make things worse

ALTHOUGH the price of oil continues to hit new records, it has in one respect been a quiet week on the oil markets. America’s lawmakers are celebrating Independence Day by taking a few days off. That has led to a brief interruption in the torrent of proposals aimed at curbing speculation.

Ten different bills on the subject are in the works in Congress. Before the House of Representatives shut up shop, it approved one by a vote of 402-19. America’s politicians are not the only ones to have fingered speculators for the feverish rise in the price of oil and other raw materials. Italy’s finance minister believes that there is a “magnum of speculative champagne” included in the price of each barrel. Austria wants the European Union to impose a tax on speculation. Saudi Arabia and other big oil producers routinely blame the price on frothy markets, rather than idle wells.

The accusers point to the link between the volume of transactions on the futures markets and the price of oil. Since 2004 the near tripling of trading in oil on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the world’s biggest market for the stuff, has neatly coincided with a tripling in the price.

What is more, investing in oil has become something of a fad. Commodities traders and hedge funds with long experience have been joined by less expert sorts, including pension funds and individuals. All this, the theory runs, is contributing to a bubble in commodities. The rush of punters betting on higher prices is begetting a self-fulfilling prophecy: it is the tide of new investment, rather than inadequate supply or irrepressible demand, that is pushing the price of oil ever higher.

Follow the oil, not the futures

This reasoning holds obvious appeal for those looking for a scapegoat. But there is little evidence to support it. For one thing, the surge in investment in oil futures is not that large relative to the global trade in oil. Barclays Capital, an investment bank, calculates that “index funds”, which have especially exercised the politicians because they always bet on rising prices, account for only 12% of the outstanding contracts on NYMEX and have a value equivalent to just 2% of the world’s yearly oil consumption.

More importantly, neither index funds nor other speculators ever buy any physical oil. Instead, they buy futures and options which they settle with a cash payment when they fall due. In essence, these are bets on which way the oil price will move. Since the real currency of such contracts is cash, rather than barrels of crude, there is no limit to the number of bets that can be made. And since no oil is ever held back from the market, these bets do not affect the price of oil any more than bets on a football match affect the result.

The market for nickel provides a good illustration of this. Speculative investment in the metal has been growing steadily over the past year, yet its price has fallen by half. By the same token, the prices of several commodities that are not traded on any exchanges, such as iron ore and rice, have been rising almost as fast as that of oil.

Speculators do play an important role in setting the price of oil and other raw materials. But they do so based on their expectations of future trends in supply and demand, not on whims. If they had somehow managed to push prices to unjustified heights, then demand would contract, leaving unsold pools of oil.

The futures market does sometimes signal that prices are likely to rise, which might prompt speculators to hoard oil in anticipation. But it is not signalling that at the moment, and there is no sign of hoarding. In the absence of rising stocks, it is hard to argue that the oil markets have lost their grip on reality.

Some claim that oil producers are in effect hoarding oil below the ground. But there is also little sign of that, either among companies or countries: all big exporters bar Saudi Arabia are pumping as fast as they can.

It takes two to contango

Despite their dismal reputation, the oil speculators provide a vital service. They help airlines and other big oil consumers to hedge against rising prices, and so to reduce risk—a massive boon amid the economic turmoil. By the same token, they provide oil producers with more predictable future revenues, and so allow them to expand more confidently and borrow more cheaply. That, in turn, should help to lower the price of oil in the long run. Any attempt to curtail speculation, by contrast, is likely to make life harder for firms and oil more expensive.

[Леонид]

http://money.ibox.bg/news/id_1249934431

[Del Piero]

http://www.reuters.com/article/usMkt...BrandChannel=0

"The price of crude oil is on the top of everyone's list," said Dan Peirce, a portfolio manager of the global asset allocation group at State Street Global Advisors in Boston. "We saw a pullback one month ago, only to see it come back with a vengeance, which really pressured major equity markets."

[tandem]

тука мамата си изтрака с тоя набалончен петрол. Няма значение, руснаците ще си пускат по 2 ядрени централи годишно, за 13 г. напред, Другите мозъци пък започнаха да замислят еликтрически и какви ли не автомобили, така че, от този току що сформиращ се световен балон може да се окаже, че има някаква ползва, така, че да го духа петрола

Дай си адреса да ти пратя Хед енд Шоулдърс

[миеща се мечка]

тука мамата си изтрака с тоя набалончен петрол. Няма значение, руснаците ще си пускат по 2 ядрени централи годишно, за 13 г. напред, Другите мозъци пък започнаха да замислят електрически и какви ли не автомобили, така че, от този току що сформиращ се световен балон може да се окаже, че има някаква ползва, така, че да го духа петрола