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  • EBITDA: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly
    By Rick Wayman
    Contact Rick
    February 6, 2002

    EBITDA is one of those terms that has received increased usage but usually for the wrong reason. This article will define it and discuss how it can be useful but also misleading.

    EBITDA is an acronym for "earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization". It is calculated by taking operating income and adding back to it interest, depreciation and amortization expenses. EBITDA is used to analyze a company's operating profitability before non-operating expenses (such as interest and "other" non-core expenses) and non-cash charges (depreciation and amortization).

    The Good
    EBITDA can be used to analyze the profitability between companies and industries. Because it eliminates the effects of financing and accounting decisions, EBITDA can provide a relatively good "apples-to-apples" comparison. For example, EBITDA as a percent of sales (the higher the ratio, the higher the profitability) can be used to find companies that are the most efficient operators in an industry.

    The ratio can also be used to evaluate different industry trends over time. Because it removes the impact of financing large capital investments and depreciation from the analysis, EBITDA can be used to compare the profitability trends of, say, "heavy" industries (like automobile manufacturers) to high-tech companies.

    The accounting rules known as FAS 142, which eliminate the amortization of goodwill, bring operating income closer to EBITDA, but EBITDA continues to be a better measure of core operating profitability.

    The Bad
    EBITDA is a good metric to evaluate profitability but not cash flow. Unfortunately, however, EBITDA is often used as a measure of cash flow, which is a very dangerous and misleading thing to do because there is a significant difference between the two.

    Operating cash flow is a better measure of how much cash a company is generating because it adds non-cash charges (depreciation and amortization) back to net income and includes the changes in working capital that also use/provide cash (such as changes in receivables, payables and inventories). These working capital factors are the key to determining how much cash a company is generating. If investors do not include changes in working capital in their analysis and rely solely on EBITDA, they will miss clues that indicate whether or not a company is losing money because it cannot sell its products!



    The Ugly
    It gets ugly when EBITDA is used as a key measure for making investment decisions. Because it is easier to calculate, EBITDA is often used as a headline metric in discussing a company's results. This, however, could, as discussed above, misrepresent the true investment potential of a company because it does not accurately reflect a firm's ability to generate cash.

    Conclusion
    EBITDA is a good measure to use to evaluate the core profit trends, but cash is king. EBITDA can be used to evaluate the profit potential between companies and industries because it eliminates some of the extraneous factors and allows a more "apples-to-apples" comparison. But EBITDA should not replace the measure of cash flow, which includes the significant factor of changes in working capital. Cash is king because it shows "true" profitability and a company's ability to continue operations.

    The experience of the W.T. Grant Company provides a good illustration of the importance of cash generation over EBITDA. Grant was a general retailer in the time before malls and was a blue chip stock of its day; however, management made several mistakes. Inventory levels increased, and the company needed to borrow heavily to keep its doors open. Because of the heavy debt load, Grant eventually went out of business, but the top analysts of the day that focused only on EBITDA missed the negative cash flows. Many of the missed calls of the end of the dotcom era mirror the recommendations Wall Street once made for Grant. History does repeat itself.


    By Rick Wayman

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    • хахахаха тъжната истина!

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      • c ogled na tova kak ce pravqt ot4etite,nqma zna4eniq:0

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        • EBITDA

          = Revenue - Expenses (excluding tax, interest, depreciation, and amortization)

          = Общо Приходи - Общо Разходи (без Разходи за данъци, Разходи за лихви, Суми с корективен характер и Амортизации)

          Това не е "брутна печалба", това е "коригирана печалба". Прав ли съм.

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          • Разбир се че се взима под внимание от него следват:
            EBITDA/shr EBITDA/shr 52 P/EBITDA'04 P/EBITDA 52
            Това всъщност ти е брутната печалба.

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            • EBITDA

              Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization - EBITDA

              An indicator of a company's financial performance calculated as:

              = Revenue - Expenses (excluding tax, interest, depreciation, and amortization)

              EBITDA can be used to analyze the profitability between companies and industries, because it eliminates the effects of financing and accounting decisions.

              Какво ще кажете за този показател. Какво е неговото практическо приложение и правите ли анализ като го вземате под внимание.

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              • Благодаря Ви много!

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                • i az cam na ca6toto mnenie kolega

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                  • hotshot, начина който предлагаш за изчисляване на печалба за последните 12 месеца е единствения възможен. Просто трябва да си поиграеш на събиране и изваждане, друг начин няма. Най-правилно е именно за послените 12 месеца а не за последната календарна година, защото в момента тези резултати ще включват данни от преди 6 тримесечия, а идеята в крайна сметка е да работиш с число което по-точно да отразява текущата ситуация.

                    Понякога резултатите за посл 12 месеца може да са изкривени от някакви еднократни разходи или данъци, затова може да се вземе вместо печалбата, първо приходите и следтова да се умножат по някакъв типичен за компанията profit margin, който се очаква да се запази в бъдеще. Но трябва много да се внимава с този подход и да се използва само при нужда (ето например за сайта ИнвесторБГ те си прогнозират profit margin от около 10%, така че ако им вземем приходите за посл 12 месеца, които са 198 хил., значи можем да приемем че 'печалбата' им е 19.8 хил, или 0.02 лв на акция, това значи PE(ttm)~100. това е по-точно отколкото да вземем счетоводната стойност която ще покаже загуба от няколко хиляди лева, която се дължи на временно по-високи разходи свързани с разширяването на компанията в момента).

                    Коментар


                    • Types Of EPS
                      By Rick Wayman
                      Contact Rick
                      September 19, 2001



                      Printer friendly version


                      Gertrude Stein said, "A rose is a rose is a rose," but the same cannot be said about earnings per share (EPS).

                      While the math may be simple, there are many varieties of EPS being used these days, and investors must understand what each one represents if they're to make informed investment decisions. For example, the EPS announced by the company may differ significantly from what is reported in the financial statements and in the headlines. As a result, a stock may appear over- or undervalued depending on the EPS being used. This article will define some of the varieties of EPS and discuss their pros and cons.

                      By definition, EPS is net income divided by the number of shares outstanding; however, both the numerator and denominator can change depending on how you define "earnings" and "shares outstanding". Because there are so many ways to define earnings, we will first tackle shares outstanding.


                      Shares Outstanding
                      Shares outstanding can be classified as either primary (primary EPS) or fully diluted (diluted EPS).

                      Primary EPS is calculated using the number of shares that have been issued and held by investors. These are the shares that are currently in the market and can be traded.

                      Diluted EPS entails a complex calculation that determines how many shares would be outstanding if all exercisable warrants, options, etc. were converted into shares at a point in time, generally the end of a quarter. We prefer diluted EPS because it is a more conservative number that calculates EPS as if all possible shares were issued and outstanding. The number of diluted shares can change as share prices fluctuate (as options fall into/out of the money), but generally the Street assumes the number is fixed as stated in the 10Q or 10K.

                      Companies report both primary and diluted EPS, and the focus is generally on diluted EPS, but investors should not assume this is always the case. Sometimes, diluted and primary EPS are the same because the company does not have any "in-the-money" options, warrants or convertible bonds outstanding. Companies can discuss either, so investors need to be sure which is being used.

                      Earnings
                      As has been evident in recent headlines, EPS can be whatever the company wants it to be, depending on assumptions and accounting policies. Corporate spin-doctors focus media attention on the number the company wants in the news, which may or may not be the EPS reported in documents filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC). Based on a set of assumptions, a company can report a high EPS, which reduces the P/E multiple and makes the stock look undervalued. The EPS reported in the 10Q, however, can result in a much lower EPS and an overvalued stock on a P/E basis. This is why it is critical for investors to read carefully and know what type of earnings is being used in the EPS calculation.

                      We will focus on five types of EPS and define them in the context of the type of "earnings" being used.

                      Reported EPS (or GAAP EPS)
                      We define reported EPS as the number derived from generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), which are reported in SEC filings. The company derives these earnings according to the accounting guidelines used. (Note: A discussion of how a company can manipulate EPS under GAAP is beyond the scope of this article, but investors should remember that it is possible. Our focus is on how earnings can be distorted even if there is no intent to manipulate results.)

                      A company's reported earnings can be distorted by GAAP. For example, a one-time gain from the sale of machinery or a subsidiary could be considered as operating income under GAAP and cause EPS to spike. Also, a company could classify a large lump of normal operating expenses as an "unusual charge" which can boost EPS because the "unusual charge" is excluded from calculations. Investors need to read the footnotes in order to decide what factors should be included in "normal" earnings and make adjustments in their own calculations.

                      Ongoing EPS
                      This EPS is calculated based upon normalized or ongoing net income and excludes anything that is an unusual one-time event. The goal is to find the stream of earnings from core operations which can be used to forecast future EPS. This can mean excluding a large one-time gain from the sale of equipment as well as an unusual expense. Attempts to determine an EPS using this methodology is also called "pro forma" EPS.

                      Pro Forma EPS
                      The words "pro forma" indicate that assumptions were used to derive whatever number is being discussed. Different from reported EPS, pro forma EPS generally excludes some expenses/income that were used in calculating reported earnings. For example, if a company sold a large division, it could, in reporting historical results, exclude the expenses and revenues associated with that unit. This allows for more of an "apples-to-apples" comparison.

                      Another example of pro forma is a company choosing to exclude some expenses because management feels that the expenses are non-recurring and distort the company's "true" earnings. Non-recurring expenses, however, seem to appear with increasing regularity these days. This raises questions as to whether management knows what it is doing or is trying to build a "rainy day fund" to smooth EPS.

                      Headline EPS
                      This EPS number is the one that is highlighted in the company's press release and picked up in the media. Sometimes it is the pro forma number, but it could also be an EPS number that has been calculated by the analyst/pundit that is discussing the company. Generally, soundbites do not provide enough information to determine which EPS number is being used.

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                      Cash EPS
                      Cash EPS is operating cash flow (not EBITDA) divided by diluted shares outstanding. We think cash EPS is more important than other EPS numbers because it is a "purer" number. Cash EPS is better because operating cash flow cannot be manipulated as easily as net income and represents real cash earned, calculated by including changes in key asset categories such as receivables and inventories. For example, a company with reported EPS of $0.50 and cash EPS of $1.00 is preferable to a firm with reported EPS of $1.00 and cash EPS of $0.50. Although there are many factors to consider in evaluating these two hypothetical stocks, the company with cash is generally in better financial shape.

                      Other EPS numbers have overshadowed cash EPS, but we expect it to get more attention because of the new GAAP rule (FAS 142), which allows companies to stop amortizing goodwill. Companies may start talking about "cash EPS" in order to differentiate between pre-FAS 142 and post-FAS 142 results; however, this version of "cash EPS" is more like EBITDA per share and does not factor-in changes in receivables and inventory. Consequently, I think it is not as good as operating-cash-flow EPS, but is better in certain cases than other forms of EPS.

                      The Bottom Line
                      Caveat investor (investor beware)! There are many types of EPS being used, and investors need to know what the EPS represents and determine if it is a valid representation of the company's earnings. A stock may look like a great value because it has a low P/E, but that ratio may be based on assumptions with which you may not agree.

                      By Rick Wayman

                      Коментар


                      • The sum of a company's earnings per share for the previous four quarters.
                        The descriptive word "trailing" implies "previous years" versus a present or forward EPS. Most recorded and quoted EPS values are trailing.

                        Коментар


                        • Ето тук са отчетети на всичките дружества на БФБ http://www.bse-sofia.bg/download/finance/2005/ Използвай ги тях при фундаменталния анализ.

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                          • Винаги от него!

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                            • Опитвам се да изчисля " Trailing EPS "

                              Trailing Twelve Months - TTM
                              The timeframe of the past twelve months (the past year) used for reporting financial figures.

                              Да разбирам ли че в случая требва да използвам "earnings" от годишния отчет

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                              • Но си има и стандартни неща де - например нетната печалба (Net Income) е едно от тях. Няма какво да я делиш, умножаваш....

                                Ако се колебаеш нещо виж на сайта на Investopedia.com в търсене.

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