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Ще има ли война Украйна - Русия / Конфликтът Хамас-Израел
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Първоначално изпратено от barbaronBarbaron е французин вече 39 години
И се чуди защо още си пази българския паспорт
Така не каза гласува ли за пенка или да
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Украйна с остра забележка към България, предупреди ни за...
Призивите за ограничаване или блокиране на помощта за Украйна на практика означават подстрекаване към подкрепа на държавата агресор, обявиха от посолството
хахаха, хохлите се чувстват господари и си искат директно мангизите. Всъщност главчев обещал директно 80 милиона гешенк
https://kritichno.bg/politika/kyiv-p...na-e-zagubila/
хохлите са загубили 80 % от топлото и електрото си, който оцелее до зимата, студа ще го довърши. Братчеди организирайте се да изпратите по някой генератор на зеления идиотLast edited by v_tin; 07.07.2024, 19:02.
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Ищо адин абрамс севодня
«Искандеры» продолжают уничтожение дивизионов С-300, защищающих авиабазы ВСУ (ВИДЕО)
05.07.2024 - 20:13
«Искандеры» продолжают уничтожение дивизионов С-300, защищающих авиабазы ВСУ (ВИДЕО) | Русская весна
Утром российские разведчики обнаружили очередной дивизион С-300ПС ВСУ, на этот раз в районе н. п. Коптев (под г. Миргородом).
Защитить аэродром у украинских сил ПВО никак не получается, они не могут защитить даже себя. По частично замаскированному пункту базирования уже традиционно нанесли удар ОТРК «Искандер», повлёкший тяжелейшие последствия для украинской системы ПВО.
По данным военных, уничтожено:
► пусковая С-300–2 шт.
► низковысотный обнаружитель ЗРК С-300–1 шт.
► радиолокатор подсвета и наведения — 1 шт.
► кабина боевого управления — 1 шт.
► автотранспорт ПВОшников — 3 шт.
► специалисты в области ПВО — не менее 40 человек.
https://rusvesna.su/news/1720199592Last edited by v_tin; 07.07.2024, 18:41.
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Ukraine is heading for defeat
The West's failure to send weapons to Kyiv is helping Putin win his war.
By JAMIE DETTMER
in Kyiv
Jamie Dettmer is opinion editor at POLITICO Europe.
Just ask a Ukrainian soldier if he still believes the West will stand by Kyiv “for as long as it takes.” That pledge rings hollow when it’s been four weeks since your artillery unit last had a shell to fire, as one serviceman complained from the front lines.
It’s not just that Ukraine’s forces are running out of ammunition. Western delays over sending aid mean the country is dangerously short of something even harder to supply than shells: the fighting spirit required to win.
Morale among troops is grim, ground down by relentless bombardment, a lack of advanced weapons, and losses on the battlefield. In cities hundreds of miles away from the front, the crowds of young men who lined up to join the army in the war’s early months have disappeared. Nowadays, eligible would-be recruits dodge the draft and spend their afternoons in nightclubs instead. Many have left the country altogether.
As I discovered while reporting from Ukraine over the past month, the picture that emerged from dozens of interviews with political leaders, military officers, and ordinary citizens was one of a country slipping towards disaster.
Even as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says Ukraine is trying to find a way not to retreat, military officers privately accept that more losses are inevitable this summer. The only question is how bad they will be. Vladimir Putin has arguably never been closer to his goal.
“We know people are flagging and we hear it from regional governors and from the people themselves,” Andriy Yermak, Zelenskyy’s powerful chief of staff, told POLITICO. Yermak and his boss travel together to “some of the most dangerous places” to rally citizens and soldiers for the fight, he said. “We tell people: ‘Your name will be in the history books.’”
If the tide doesn’t turn soon in this third year of Russia’s invasion, it will be the nation of Ukraine as it currently exists that is consigned to the past.
For a war of such era-defining importance, the scale of Western leaders’ actions to help Kyiv repel Russia’s invaders has fallen far short of their soaring rhetoric. That disappointment has left Ukrainians of all ranks — from the soldiers digging trenches to ministers running the country — weary and irritable.
When POLITICO asked Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba if he felt the West had left Ukraine to fight with one hand tied behind its back, his verdict was clear: “Yes, I do,” he said, in an interview in his office, an hour after another Russian mid-morning missile attack.
Zelenskyy has laid out the stakes even more starkly, saying Ukraine “will lose the war” if the U.S. Congress does not step up and supply aid.
Increasingly it looks as if Putin’s bet that he can grind down Ukrainian resistance and Western support might pay off.
Without a major step-change in the supply of advanced Western weapons and cash, Ukraine won’t be able to liberate the territories Putin’s forces now hold. That will leave Putin free to gnaw on the wounded country in the months or years ahead. Even if Russia can’t finish Ukraine off, a partial victory will leave Kyiv’s hopes of joining the EU and NATO stuck in limbo.
The ramifications of such an outcome will be serious for the world. Putin will claim victory at home, and, emboldened by exposing Western weaknesses, he may reinvigorate his wider imperial ambitions abroad. Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are especially fearful they are next on his hit list. China, already an increasingly reliable partner for Moscow, will see few reasons to alter its stance.
Right now, Ukraine’s most urgent need is for artillery shells — millions of them. Moreover, Ukraine says it needs at least two dozen Patriot air-defense systems to protect troops on the front lines and to defend Kharkiv, the country’s biggest city after Kyiv, which has been under ferocious missile and artillery attack for weeks.
Fears are growing that Russia may target Ukraine’s second city for a ground offensive soon.
“It’s symbolic because they say that Kharkiv was the first capital of Ukraine. It’s a big target,” Zelenskyy said in an interview with POLITICO’s parent company Axel Springer media outlets last week.
Ukraine’s military is braced for more losses in the coming months. Oleksandr Syrskyi, commander in chief of the armed forces, has warned that the situation on Ukraine’s eastern front has “significantly deteriorated in recent days.” As Zelenskyy himself put it elsewhere, “We are trying to find some way not to retreat.”
The fears about the fragility of the front lines are only compounded by an unprecedented barrage of Russian attacks intended to knock out Ukraine’s electricity networks.
In recent meetings with POLITICO, the country’s political leaders acknowledged that public spirits are sagging, and although they all tried to stay upbeat, frustration with the West came through in every conversation.
“Give us the damn Patriots,” snapped Kuleba, Ukraine’s chief diplomat. Sitting for an interview in the foreign ministry, he couldn’t hide his exasperation with the delays, and the strings that come attached to Western weaponry — like not striking Russian oil facilities.
Kuleba, of course, offered his unconditional gratitude for all the support that has come from the Western allies over the past two years. But he warned that Ukraine is trapped in a vicious cycle: The weapons it needs are withheld or delayed; then Western allies complain that Kyiv is on the retreat, making it less likely they’ll send more aid in future. (Since POLITICO’s meeting with Kuleba, Germany has agreed to supply Patriots, but the question still remains whether they will prove sufficient.)
The mood in the senior ranks of the military is even darker than Kuleba’s.
Several senior officers talked to POLITICO only on the understanding they would not be named so they could talk freely. They painted a grim forecast of frontlines potentially collapsing this summer when Russia, with greater weight of numbers and a readiness to accept huge casualties, launches its expected offensive. Perhaps worse, they expressed private fears that Ukraine’s own resolve could be weakened, with morale in the armed forces undermined by a desperate shortage of supplies.
Ukrainian commanders are crying out for more combat soldiers — one estimate from the former top commander, Valeriy Zaluzhny suggested they’d need an extra 500,000 troops.
But Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian parliament are hesitant about ordering a massive fresh call-up. In an interview with POLITICO, Yermak, the powerful Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, offered an important — and to outsiders perhaps surprising — reason for not launching a mass mobilization: such a call-up wouldn’t have the backing of the people. Zelenskyy is still “president of the people,” he said. “For him, that’s very important, and it’s very important that the people do something not just because they’re ordered to do it.”
And there’s the rub. The West has failed to come up with what’s needed, and it in turn is undermining Ukraine’s will to do what it takes.
The country is facing an existential crisis — Putin literally wants to scratch it from the map — and yet there apparently isn’t enough public support for a new draft. Young Ukrainians are dodging the military draft
Admittedly, Ukraine is no different from its neighboring European countries where recent opinion polls suggest large numbers would refuse to be conscripted even if their nations were under attack. But Ukraine is the country at war. An existential fight like this can’t be won without mobilizing the entire nation.
And yet, as the conflict continues, Ukrainians living in Kyiv and the center and west of the country — away from the front lines — appear in some ways to be ready to put up with war raging in the east, as long as they can get back to their normal lives.
Hence, there is draft-dodging: eligible young recruits find other things to do with their time, packing into hipster bars and techno clubs in the late afternoons.
my has remained resilient and Putin has strengthened his grip on power.
It’s true that before launching the 2022 invasion, the Russian leader may have been misled by his bungling intelligence chiefs into believing a short war would offer a quick win.
And what would a deadlocked conflict do to Ukrainian resilience?
What would Putin do if Ukraine doesn’t get the Western help it needs to win? “He would completely destroy everything. Everything,” Zelenskyy told Axel Springer media. Ukrainian cities will be reduced to rubble; hundreds of thousands will die, he said.
“People will not run away, most of them, and so he will kill a lot of people. So how it will look like? A lot of blood.”
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Според РЦБ1 индексът на инфлацията за 2024.05 е 8.3%.
Същевременно Eurostat2 отчита доста положителни тенденции за ЕС (2.7%) и еврозоната (2.6%).
Очевидното е, че проблем в Руската федерация има и то сериозен. Затова и Банк России държи основния лихвен процент на 16.00%. За сравнение, ЕЦБ се справя отлично с 4.25%.
1. Банк России
2. Eurostat
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Първоначално изпратено от GiRo Разгледай мнениеРъшки, бензинчето поскъпнало с 20%, що тъй?
...Ах, да: С тези цени, растат и постъпленията в бюджета, нали уж руската икономика била рухвала...
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В недавних отчетах *The Economist* и других источников были приведены подробные данные о потерях российских военных в продолжающейся войне на Украине. Согласно этим отчетам, основанным на документах Министерства обороны США, по состоянию на июнь 2024 года Россия понесла от 462 000 до 728 000 потерь, включая убитых и тяжелораненых солдат[2][6]. Это число значительно превышает все российские военные потери со времен Второй мировой войны.
Ключевые моменты:- Количество потерь: По оценкам, от 462 000 до 728 000 российских военнослужащих были "выведены из строя" в результате конфликта[2][6]. В это число входят убитые и тяжелораненые.
- Источники данных: эти данные получены из официальных и неофициальных источников, включая независимые российские СМИ, такие как "Медиазона" и "Meduza", которые использовали записи о наследстве и некрологи в социальных сетях для оценки числа погибших[2][6].
- Исторический контекст: масштабы этих потерь беспрецедентны в современной российской истории и превышают общие потери во всех российских конфликтах со времен Второй мировой войны[3].
- Демографические последствия: демографические последствия значительны, наибольшее число жертв приходится на российских мужчин в возрасте 35-39 лет. По оценкам, около 2 % всех российских мужчин в возрасте 20-50 лет были убиты или тяжело ранены в ходе конфликта[2].
- Прогнозы на будущее: Есть прогнозы, что продолжение войны может привести к еще большему числу жертв, в зависимости от хода конфликта они могут составить от полутора до пяти миллионов человек[2].
- Экспертный анализ: Анализ Пентагона, проводимый военными экспертами и аналитиками, направлен на понимание современной войны и ее последствий. Эти эксперты характеризуют себя как чрезвычайно подробные и объективные в своих оценках, лишенные политического или пропагандистского влияния[2].
Данные, представленные *The Economist* и подтвержденные другими источниками, свидетельствуют о тяжелых человеческих потерях России в результате войны на Украине. Цифры отражают не только непосредственные потери российских военнослужащих, но и более широкие демографические и общественные последствия. Детальный и методичный подход Пентагона к анализу этих потерь дает наглядное представление о масштабах конфликта и его потенциальной будущей траектории.
Цитирование:
[1] https://www.economist.com/graphic-de...led-in-ukraine
[2] https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/more...720327836.html
[3] https://thehill.com/policy/internati...ombined-study/
[4] https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...t-june-26-2024
[5] https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/d...ainst-ukraine/
[6] https://www.kyivpost.com/post/35439
[7] https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...nt-july-4-2024
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Неотдавнашни доклади на *The Economist* и други източници предоставиха подробни данни за руските военни загуби в продължаващата война в Украйна. Според тези доклади, базирани на документи от Министерството на отбраната на САЩ, към юни 2024 г. Русия е понесла между 462 000 и 728 000 жертви, включително убити и тежко ранени войници[2][6]. Този брой значително надвишава всички руски военни загуби от Втората световна война насам.
Ключови моменти:- Брой на жертвите: Оценките сочат, че между 462 000 и 728 000 руски военнослужещи са били "извадени от строя" в резултат на конфликта[2][6]. Това включва убитите и тежко ранените.
- Източници на данни: Тези данни са получени от комбинация от официални и неофициални източници, включително независими руски медии като Mediazona и Meduza, които са използвали записи от наследството и некролози в социалните мрежи, за да изчислят броя на смъртните случаи[2][6].
- Исторически контекст: Мащабът на тези загуби е безпрецедентен в съвременната руска история, като надхвърля общия брой на жертвите от всички руски конфликти след Втората световна война[3].
- Демографско въздействие: Демографските последици са значителни, като най-голям е броят на жертвите сред руските мъже на възраст от 35 до 39 г. Според изчисленията приблизително 2 % от всички руски мъже на възраст от 20 до 50 г. са били убити или тежко ранени в конфликта[2].
- Бъдещи прогнози: Съществуват прогнози, че продължаването на войната може да доведе до още по-голям брой жертви, като в зависимост от хода на конфликта те могат да достигнат от един и половина до пет милиона души[2].
- Експертен анализ: Анализът на Пентагона, извършен от военни експерти и анализатори, е насочен към разбирането на съвременната война и нейните последици. Тези експерти се описват като изключително подробни и обективни в своите оценки, лишени от политически или пропагандни влияния[2].
Данните, представени от *The Economist* и потвърдени от други източници, подчертават тежката човешка цена на войната в Украйна за Русия. Цифрите отразяват не само непосредствените загуби за руския военен персонал, но подчертават и по-широките демографски и обществени последици. Подробният и методичен подход на Пентагона към анализа на тези загуби дава ярка представа за мащаба на конфликта и за потенциалната му бъдеща траектория.
Цитати:
[1] https://www.economist.com/graphic-de...led-in-ukraine
[2] https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/more...720327836.html
[3] https://thehill.com/policy/internati...ombined-study/
[4] https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...t-june-26-2024
[5] https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/d...ainst-ukraine/
[6] https://www.kyivpost.com/post/35439
[7] https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...nt-july-4-2024
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