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m. Trader благодаря ти за информацията , оттук нататък решавам да действувам само при разлика от 300 - 400 пипста независимо в коя от двете посоки ще отиде с цел печалба от 100 пипста и нагоре , както и сезонно , например при покачване или спад от 25 - 30 ст. ще заемам обратна позиция с цел корекция от минимом 9 ст. Успех на всички.
August 6: USD/JPY found good support overnight on reports of Japanese
importer buying overnight, continued rumors of MOF bids at 119.50/60, along with
talk of option-related buying at the lows from the same players selling near
120.70. EUR/JPY buying aided USD/JPY gains with a high of 120.41 achieved on an
early short-squeeze in NY. Several attempts on EUR/JPY to breach 137.00 kept
USD/JPY underpinned but the squeeze failed. USD/JPY offers ahead of 120.50 also
capped gains. Numerous option strikes from 120.00-120.50 through the US morning
were also said to be attracting price action.
USD/JPY was unable to sustain gains with early US stock losses weighing on the
dollar. But, even the positive US Treasury result and a bounce back in stocks
could not help USD/JPY. The market was long EUR/JPY having tripped stops as high
as 136.75 and on the failed attempts to break 137.00. With bunds weaker and talk
of an investment bank report bearish on the cross, the long market bailed into
the afternoon on EUR weakness, triggering 136.50 stops to trade to 136.21. The
cross decline capped USD/JPY with the 119.70-120.70 range intact.
Aug 6] EUR/USD started the day off above 1.1400, basking in the
negative US sentiment following yesterday"s poor note auction. German June
industrial orders rose 2.3%, leading Economic Minister Clement to conclude that
the economic downturn had bottomed. Swiss names were big sellers and drove
prices through stops below 1.1380. There was pretty good size going through in a
narrow 1.1365/95 range, but with growing frustration as little fresh progress is
made. A fall to support at 1.1360 was rebuffed by Chinese bids and option
expirations at 1.1375 and 1.1400 limited price action. US funds kept leaning on
bids and a fall though stops under 1.1350 was engineered on the positive results
of the 5-year auction (a 2.48 bid-to-cover and yields at 3.30%), sending prices
down to 1.1325/30. A late day bounce was seen as stocks gave back half of the
early day gains. In general the broad 1.1100/1.1550 range continues to collar
prices, but with clear concerns on deficits, and weakening US stocks, the EUR is
likely to be a buy on dips. Tomorrow German CPI and industrial production,
expected at +0.9% y/y and -1.4% y/y respectively.
Недялко, вчера ги изкара , днеска ги загуби , врътка да става - шегувам се !
Сериозно : всеки опитва такива "трикове" , но все пак е друго ако например търсиш сезонност,
края на месец или тримесечие, публикуване на отчети и други такива неща, но само на едночасова
графика и то в толкова тесен диапазон е много трудно да си направиш извод за някакво повтарящо се
движение. Все пак ако си решил да играеш технически дори и на 1ч. графика разгледай примерно
chart pattern , inside & outside bar, 1-2-3 higher high / lower low ... и още много такива ... и не гледай
оределени нива 80 , 90 или нещо такова, има само психологически граници и те са на всички кръгли
нива -- 1.1400 1.1500 и т.н.
Vremeto, няма проблем , просто реагирах за да не се обърка някой, и аз съм на къси позиции
в евро та за това се учудих ,....
Инфо , няма как ще я следваме стриктно тази прогноза ..))
и все пак и аз съм на мнение " че инвеститорите са започнали отново да следят
американския фондов пазар "
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