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Shit happens!!!
Auda shte gi povleche, malka podskazka. Evro/dolar probie li 1,3185 povlicha i kabela, a naprejenieto nadolu e golyamo.osven che v momenta tova nivo go igrae kato duno otpredi po moi smetki tam stoi silna podkrepa. AKO NE PADNE, ZDRAVE DA E.
Trade Idea - Buy 1mth EUR/GBP pre-0.6850 OT] London, February
23: The probability of another 25bp UK rate hike has increased today, on the
back of the hawkish MPC minutes published at 09:30GMT (www.bankofengland.co.uk).
These revealed the first split vote since April last year (8-1), with dissenter
Paul Tucker voting for a 25bp rate increase.
Assuming Tony Blair calls a UK general election for Thursday May 5, the MPC has
two opportunities to raise rates ahead of the election (March 10 and April 7).
In the wake of today"s hawkish minutes, a UK clearer reportedly believes that a
hike will be delivered on the latter of those dates. The odds of its rate
forecast proving accurate will shorten if at least one other MPC member joins
Tucker in voting for a rate rise next month (assuming Tucker votes the same way
again).
Minutes from the March 9/10 MPC meeting will be published on March 23--the
current expiry date for 1mth options. With an ECB rate hike still off the
agenda, a vote flip to 7-2, 6-3, or even 5-4, could depress EUR/GBP to/through
0.6850 (double-day low, Feb 4 & 7).
To position for such a possibility, it might be worth considering the purchase
of a 1mth exotic One Touch trigger located just ahead of 0.6850 (eg, 0.6852).
This will return the OT buyer approximately double the amount of premium staked
if the level trades pre-expiry (priced according to FENICS FX 2002, spot
reference: 0.6923, vol reference: 6.15 pct).
Bear in mind that EUR/GBP was trading sub-0.6900 ahead of Tuesday"s Asian
session EUR/USD break above 1.3100 (the cross clearance of 0.6900 came as
EUR/USD gains outpaced those of GBP/USD).
Fresh guidance re: the UK interest rate outlook may be provided by a slated
speech from MPC member Rachel Lomax at 11:25GMT tomorrow (Thursday).
Note that if the UK election is held on May 5, that day"s slated MPC rate
verdict will be postponed until Monday May 9. The planned May 11 publication of
the BoE"s quarterly inflation report might also be subject to a short delay, in
the event of a May 5 election. --Robert.Howard@thomson.com
Икономическият субект може да играе
по една от две противоположни стратегии: 1) да минимизира нуждата си от
пари (тоест - от труд и да е доволен на опрделенми резултати, и 2) да максимизира
стойността, като това се отнася не само за произвежданите стоки, но и за
"пазарната оценка" на самия субект. Ясно е, че двата типа поведение водят
до съвършено различни икономически картини: в частност, т.нар. "общество на
благосъстоянието" е невъзможно при първата стратегия. Ясно е също, че цел
на финансовия сектор е да се въртят все повече пари, и минималната
стратегия е смъртно опасна за него. Идеалната - според финансистите -
ситуация е, когато а) човек се нуждае от все повече пари, и б) няма
инфлация. Това е възможно, ако се разширяват потребителските хоризонти, ако
се въвеждат нови нужди ....не се включвайте в системата
)) hahaha Ок, Varna 2! И аз ей сега ще рискувам 1к късо, но стопа на 200.40. Просто мисля , че ако го удари, съвсем скоро 200.80 ще го последва.
Още веднъж успех!
USD/CAD has reached 1.2425 after blowing through 1.2400, underpinned by
speculation of relaxed Canadian pension rules allowing for greater foreign
investment. 1.2450/55 is next technical resistance for the pair. 1.2375 is
intraday support on dips.
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