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Няма да влизам в спор. Само ще кажа, че никой в момента не може да ме убеди да отигравам корекция в е/$. Ще опитам това в паунд/долар. В е/$ ще добавям къси които ще закрия само при сигнал по Уйлямс на дневния.
Успех!
Friday, June 3, 2005 3:52 GMT
Daily Report
by Alipes Investment http://www.alipes.net
EUR/USD (1.2289)
Market continues its corrective upside and remains capped below 1.2300. Little price movement has been seen today. Intraday studies are overbought and more consolidation is expected. Another failure at 1.2300 & 1.2345 would open way for another test of the 1.2170 low. On the upside a break above 1.2365 would target 1.2415. Daily studies remain oversold and there is still no sign of bottoming yet. We hold short at 1.2270, exit another failure at 1.2245.
USD/JPY (107.81)
The sideway trading seen above the 108.00 level finally ended and market moved lower from there and the downside was capped by the important support at 107.75. Intraday studies are heading lower, now close to oversold levels and despite the overbought daily studies, the trend remains positive with further upside expected to follow towards 108.90 & 110.15. On the downside, a break below 107.20 would open way to further downside towards 106.70. We switch to neutral for now and stand aside.
GBP/USD (1.8188)
As expected, the corrective upside seen yesterday was capped below the 1.8200 level and pair has been trading sideways there. A break above 1.8200 would open way to further upside towards 1.8270. Intraday studies are heading higher in favor of further corrective upside. Daily studies remain deep in oversold territory. On the downside a break below 1.8065 would be very bearish for the pair. Stand aside for now.
USD/CHF (1.2500)
Neutral activity was seen today after yesterday's failure at the 1.2600 high. Intraday studies are slightly negative for the pair, however further consolidation is not ruled out towards 1.2450 & 1.2400. Daily studies remain deep in overbought territory and on the hedge to turn negative for the pair as well. We stand aside for now.
AUD/USD (0.7560)
Market continues its upside from the 0.7470 low and pair moved higher towards 0.7560 where pair has been holding so far. Intraday studies are still positive for the pair and further upside is expected towards 0.7575 & 0.7615. A minor trendline from the 0.7790 stands now at 0.7595. This level should be watch closely in the near-term. On the downside, the break below the 0.7530 level would be very bearish for the pair. Daily studies are on the hedge to turn negative again for the pair. We stand aside for now.
USD/CAD (1.2469)
Market is still consolidating below the 1.2515 high. Intraday studies are atill showming mixed signals. Daily studies remain negative for the pair and further downside is expected to follow shortly towards 1.2450 & 1.2370. Hold short at 1.2480, keep stop tight.
Supports: 1.2455-1.2355-1.2310-1.2260
Resistances: 1.2520-1.2580-1.2630-1.2695-1.2735-1.2760
Market direction: Bearish
Today's projected high/low: 1.2560-1.2350
Weekly pivot supports: 1.2048-1.1911
Weekly pivot resistances: 1.2390-1.2540
Conservative recommendation: Hold short 1.2480, SL 1.2550, target 1.2370
Aggressive recommendation: Hold short 1.2480, SL 1.2550, target 1.2370
STRATEGY
Signs of basing across a variety of currencies may just be enough to help the euro get back some dignity after the extended fall last month. The euro has formed a small daily “spike low” around the 1.2200 Fibonacci support level, and should form at least an interim low at this level. For today, allow for a bit more activity in the 1.2200 – 1.2300 zone, before a push above 1.2300, perhaps later today or early next week, takes us to 1.2400. Only a hold above here and a break above 1.2500 will signify a long term bottom is in place. Until then there is still danger of another downside test of the 1.2200 level and possibly a drop as low as 1.2000.
Trend: DOWN below 1.2800
Our position(s): Long 1.2200
Strategy: Hold longs from 1.2200, target 1.2400. Watch carefully for signs of topping in the 1.2400-1.2500 region next week. Opportunity to sell at those levels.
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Откровено казано, при създалата и създаващата се ситуация около еврото, не бих се доверявал на правилно броене чрез Елиот. В случая Бил Уйлямс ми се струва по-ефективен.
Е, това е моето мнение.
Тия италианци са ебати неблагодарната нация.....битер от французите. Като въведоха еврото именно италианците извлякоха най-голяма полза от единната валуата, а сега първи заговориха за напускане на кораба ...пфу
Е все някой трябва да помогне за изграждането или началото на последна 5 вълна.Дано е така.Има всички шансове тази вълна да достигне нива,не по-високи от предишния,трети импулс,т.е. не повече от 1,2598........след което би трябвало да се даде начало на корекция.Успех,колеги!
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