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The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.2680 level and was capped around the $1.2730 level. The common currency’s intraday low represents the pair’s weakest level since 13 July and is right around the 23.6% retracement of the $1.5140 - $1.1875 range. Similarly, the $1.2605 represents the 50% retracement of the $1.1875 - $1.3335 range. Data released in the U.S. today saw the July Chicago Fed national activity index improve to 0.00 from the revised June reading of -0.70. Data to be released tomorrow include July existing home sales and the August Richmond Fed manufacturing index. Kansas City Fed President Hoenig provided testimony today, saying “The economy will continue to improve. I think we will have new opportunities. I think we will prosper. However, we have some things to get through. First of all, we have a great deal of uncertainty” (on account of health care and financial regulation). He added “We are also in the process of deleveraging.” Speaking about the real estate market, Hoenig reported “If the American people are looking for the housing market to be their investment opportunity, I think they are making a mistake. We have an excess supply, and we created that by providing financing, leverage, that was almost nonsense.” Hoenig also pessimistically warned that commercial real estate “will be a drag on earnings for some quarters yet.” The Federal Reserve Bank of New York received nearly US$ 4 billion in repayments from American International Group, representing AIG’s partial repayment of its emergency credit facility the Fed provided. A U.S. appeals court today refused to reconsider a ruling that would force the Fed to identify which financial firms faced collapse prior to the Fed’s and government’s bailout. In eurozone news, data released today saw EMU-16 August PMI manufacturing decline to 55.0 while the PMI services reading weakened to 55.6, taking the composite lower to 56.1. Other data saw the EMU-16 August consumer confidence index improve to -12 from the prior reading of -14. Also, German August manufacturing PMI weakened while August services PMI improved, contrasting with France’s improvement in manufacturing and deceleration in services. Traders are still talking about remarks made by ECB official Weber on Friday wherein he suggested official eurozone interest rates will likely be on hold until Q2 2011. Euro offers are cited around the US$ 1.3240 level.
Tuesday, 24 August 2010
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)
0300 NZ Q3 RBNZ 2-year inflation expectations (2.8%)
0600 Germany Q2 capital investment (-1.6%)
0600 Germany Q2 construction investment (-3.8%)
0600 Germany Q2 gross domestic product (1.7% y/y)
0830 UK July BBA loans for house purchase
0900 Eurozone June industrial new orders (3.2% m/m)
0900 Eurozone June industrial new orders (22.9% y/y)
1230 US Chicago Fed President Evans speaks
1230 Canada June retail sales (-0.2% m/m)
1230 Canada June retail sales, ex-autos (-0.1% m/m)
1400 US July existing home sales (-5.1% m/m)
1400 US July existing home sales (5.37 million)
1400 US August Richmond Fed manufacturing index (16)
2350 Japan July merchandise trade balance (¥456.0 billion)
2350 Japan July corporate service prices (-1.0% y/y)
2350 Japan July merchandise trade balance (¥686.4 billion)
Wednesday, 25 August 2010
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)
0000 Australia June leading index (0.3%)
0130 Australia Q2 construction work done (1.9%)
0800 Germany August Ifo, business climate (106.2)
0800 Germany August Ifo, current assessment (106.8)
0800 Germany August Ifo, expectations (105.5)
1100 US MBA mortgage applications
1230 US July durable goods orders (-1.0%)
1230 US July durable goods orders, ex-transportation (-0.6%)
1400 US June house price index (0.5% m/m)
1400 US Q2 house price purchase index (-1.9% q/q)
1400 US July new home sales (330,000)
1400 US July new home sales (23.6% m/m)
1600 France July total jobseekers, net change (-8,600)
Thursday, 26 August 2010
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)
0715 CH Q2 employment level (3.961 million)
0715 CH Q2 employment level (0.1% y/y)
0730 Italy August consumer confidence
0800 Eurozone July M3 money supply (0.2% y/y)
1000 UK August CBI reported sales (33)
1230 US Weekly initial jobless claims (500,000)
1230 US Continuing jobless claims
2330 Japan July household spending (0.5% y/y)
2330 Japan July jobless rate (5.3%)
2330 Japan July consumer price index (-0.7% y/y)
2330 Japan July CPI, ex-food, energy (-1.5% y/y)
2330 Japan July Tokyo-area CPI (-1.2% y/y)
2330 Japan July Tokyo-area CPI, ex-food, energy (-1.4% y/y)
Friday, 27 August 2010
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)
0830 UK Q2 gross domestic product (1.1% q/q)
0830 UK Q2 gross domestic product (1.6% y/y)
0930 CH August KOF Swiss leading indicator (2.23)
1230 US Q2 PCE, core (1.1% q/q)
1230 US Q2 gross domestic product (2.4%)
1230 US Q2 GDP price index (1.8%)
1355 US August University of Michigan consumer sentiment (1.6%)
1400 US Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke speaks
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