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Ей, няма ли кой да отговори на Наивник бре
Относно cutting-a, случи се очакваното, оценките бяха следните:
.25 cut 100% chance
.50 cut 30% chance.
>.50 cut 0.1% chance.
За себе си аз обяснявам нещата по следния начин: Пазара изчакваше новината, и след като не се случи нищо неочаквано, отново възобнови възходящия си тренд. Регистрира нов връх на 1.1013, и аз смятам, че след като отново слезе под 1.10 ще коригира до 1.0968, преди да опита ново движение нагоре
9:47 AM – EURUSD: The move above 1.1003 has the bull trend back in control of this market, leaving it with little resistance till 1.1056. There, the wave v rally from 1.0922 will equal the distance
traveled in wave i (when measured from 1.0703 to 1.0837). Secondary
resistance is the 1.1149 level, where the larger wave (v) rally would equal wave (i). So somewhere in the 1.1056/1.1149 area we could see a top to wave (v) of ((iii)) and the start of a large sideways corrective force in wave ((iv)) (see daily chart). Micro-term support is at 1.0955 (.618 since 1.0922). Only a sustained break there would suggest that the wave iv sideways correction is still unfolding.
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NewFx
EURUSD
8:55 AM – EURUSD: The euro has been the big beneficiary of
the SNB rate cut, with the micro-term cycle bottoming early at 1.0922, just one pip above the 1.0921 support (.618 of 1.0871-1.1003). The inability to break this support suggests that the bigger bull is alive and well, but the important question now is whether bullish micro-term rhythm will be able to prevail over bearish minute-term rhythm. The recent rebound past 1.0972
(.618 of 1.1003-1.0922 and a reaction high) has 1.1003 in the
crosshairs. A break there would confirm a full return of the bull, aiming it at 1.1149, the next important resistance. Micro-term support is now at 1.0951 (.618 since 1.0922).
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