If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Моя принос. Поздрави.
KAREN JONES, TECHNICAL ANALYST, COMMERZBANK
* DOLLAR/SWISS FRANC: "Near term the market is overbought
and approaching initial upside target at 1.4340/80, this
represents the 61.8 percent retracement of the move from 1.5305
to the 1.2785 low and also the lows that we saw in July 2002. We
would expect to see some profit taking here. Dips lower will
find interim support at 1.4085 ahead of 1.3900/1.3880, which
remains key and maintains immediate upside pressure. From a
longer term perspective the dollar last week broke higher
through major resistance at 1.4050/90, into new highs for this
year. In doing so it has completed a large base below the market
with a minimum of 1.5100 as an upside objective longer term."
* DOLLAR/STERLING: "Sterling has reached its next target of
$1.5670...The market is not oversold, however the spike below
this point would imply some exhaustion. Very near term therefore
we would allow for a possible rebound to $1.5800/40. However it
should be noted that this would have little impact on the chart
and the market will remain directly offered below $1.5970/80.
Failure to hold $1.5630 will target $1.5470/10 then $1.5270."
* EURO/YEN: "The euro"s slide lower last week was extremely
damaging - the market has eroded key support at 128.65 - the
23.6 percent retracement of the entire bull move and the 34
month uptrend. This has significantly altered the chart - above
the market a top has completed 140.90-130.60, which offers a
120.30/119.70 downside measurement longer term. In the near
term, there is good interim support in the 126.10/125.55 band
and the market reflects oversold. The spike down to 126.70
overnight looks exhaustive and we would allow for a corrective
rebound to 129.35/50 (maximum 130.60/131.00)."
* EURO/SWISS FRANC: "The euro has eased back into the large
1.5270-1.5600 range - it is no longer clear if this is a
consolidation pattern or indeed a top. However while dips hold
over 1.5365/80 - this is the 61.8 percent retracement of the
move from 1.5270 to 1.5515, we will maintain a slightly positive
bias. Failure to hold 1.5365 would trigger a slide to the more
important 1.5270/65 zone."
**
eto kakvo vijdam
Daily - dvijenie v nizhodqsht kanal - fibo 423.6 - 0732
H4 - sushto dvijenie v nizhodqsht kanal - 261.8 -0722
presichane na dvata kanala v goreposochenite tochki.
po Bill
H1 - v ustata na aligatora, po otnoshenie na fraktalite - nqma qsen signal, AO i AC - neopredeleni v momenta
H4 - izvun ustata na aligatora, posleden fraktal - probiv na predhodniq =>, vse oshte nizhodqshta tendentziq
Pri AC i AO se opitva de se formira signal down, sledvashtiqat tzenovi bar, shte bude eventualno potvurjdenie
Mtrader, dali naistina e taka?
Indikatori -
H1 i H4 - MACD(up) i PKS(down) - v momenta defazirani
Предлагам един вариант за критика:
От ниво1.1120 на 20.08 започва падаща импулсна вълна завършваща в 1.0833 на 22.08 (ортодоксален връх).От тук следва зиг-заг с "а" в 1.0914 от вчера и "b" в 1.0798 от рано тази сутрин.Сега сме в изграждане на "с" която би трябвало да е импулсна в 5 вълни и да продължи до минимум 1.0945(0.382 корекция на вълната от 1.1120).
Благодаря на тия,които биха изказали мнение по въпроса!
Коментар