Валутна търговия - FOREX - АРХИВ

[seafoam]

сутрешни на Standard & Poor's

[EUR/USD]eased off from 1.2629 Wed high but pullback expected to remain limited given firm stance of intraday plot. Higher low sought for renewed attack over 1.2600 and scope for extension towards 1.2678-1.2715. Only retreat under the 1.2529-35 Mon/Tue's high defers for deeper correction.
[STRATEGY]BUY 1.2540 FOR[1.2678]OBJ, STOP (1.2515)

[USD/JPY]spiked under July's 108.10 higher low to extend decline from 111.74/48 lower tops. Immediate scope is set at next higher low of 107.56 with break highlighting key pivotal support at 107.02 where a steep 2-week falling channel support lies nearby. Immediate recovery is limited to hourly breakdown at 108.10.
[POSITION]SHORT 109.40 FOR[107.56]/(108.10) !


[GBP/USD]may hit a snag near 1.8192 (proj"d 7-wk bull channel resistance) with further resistance posed by key 200-day MA and projection of 1.7708- 1.8163 upleg off 1.7745 higher low @1.8197/99 respectively. Intraday swing low near 1.8100-24 is being sought for an effective breakout to 1.8203-41 in the sessions ahead.
[STRATEGY]BUY @1.8125 FOR[1.8241]OBJ, STOP @(1.8100)

[USD/CHF]extended downmove from 1.2665, 13Oct high, to reach 1.2169 low on Wed. Breach of 1.2202, 12Jul low, leaves the way open for slide to the Jan and year's low @1.2165-40. Lower high sought on current upticks while onlyabove the 1.2270-80 Mon/Tue's low defers and opens up a stronger recovery.
[STRATEGY]SELL @1.2250 FOR[1.2165], STOP @(1.2285)

[EUR/CHF]weakens after a mild 1.5375-1.5415 bounce on Mon-Tues and heads for 38% retrace of Jun-Oct's 1.5037-1.5557 advance @1.5358. Penetration would weigh on trendline bisecting Aug/Sep's 1.5307/13 pivot lows currently @1.5326 to defy downtrend. Intraday upside seen limited to 1.5380-92 for now.
[POSITION]SHORT @1.5370 FOR[1.5340]OBJ, STOP @(1.5395).

[AUD/USD]retaining immediate bull bias above .7300 as an apprent 5-wave structure unfolds off this week's low at .7222. Meantime, an hourly bull flag may provide scope for next upmove to .7384 peak and .7390 region with break favoring .7425 objective. Waning daily momentum studies however caution stalling ahead.
[STRATEGY]BUY .7315 FOR[.7390]OBJ, STOP (.7285)

[USD/CAD]Lower high at 1.2593 pivoted a sharp downleg to break below the week long 1.2506 range low, as well as the year's low at 1.2495. This shows that bears retain a firm grip on market and current bounce off 1.2418 is likely to be capped below 1.2495-1.2506, which now reverts to resist. Next bear target seen towards 1.2390.
[STRATEGY]LOOK TO SELL RALLIES

[EUR/JPY]weakens under series of minor swing tops stemming from 137.56 peak to probe back under 136.00. Hourly pressure is seen building over 135.51 and 135.44 (nr 62% of 134.60/136.90 upleg) with break highlighting a 6-week rising trendline support near 135.23 higher low. Loss there warns renewed bear back at 134.60.
[POSITION]SHORT 135.85 FOR[135.23], STOP(136.10) !

[GBP/JPY]repelled off 197.55 to touch 195.20/195.35 (Tue/Wed lows) before current corrective bounce on oversold dailies. Cautious of reversal off 202.50 (28Sep high), remains at risks of losing 195.35 to expose 194.50 ahead of key support at 193.60. To negate bearish pressure, a break of 200-day MA will project beyond 198.95.
[STRATEGY]STAND ASIDE, AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL. !


[EUR/GBP]swung up from Tue's brief corrective low @.6934 to .6965 Weds and reversed abruptly. Correction to .6904-11 is imminent but a swing low near .6895 (62% retrace of .6852-.6965 upleg) would bode well for resumption of uptrend towards .6974/83 (09Jan lower high/62% retrace of May03-Jun04 .7254- .6545 decline).
[STRATEGY]N-TERM SELL @.6934 FOR[.6895]OBJ, STOP @(.6950).

[Наблюдаващ]

EUR/CHF

Аз го следя от една седмица - същото положение :-)

[marusya]

EUR/CHF

Някой следи ли eur/chf ?
Имам къси 20 лота и ме мотае 2 дена нагоре надолу за 20 пипса.

[Наблюдаващ]

USD/JPY

Мерси, успех, може и от теб да се обучим, лошо нема :-)

[iskam kAzvam]

USD/JPY вече и за обучени ут пешовци

нагоре към 14ч утре поне за 48 ч ++

[Наблюдаващ]

USD/JPY

А твоята позиция в момента каква е?

[iskam kAzvam]

USD/JPY вече и за гитар пешо

много сигурна в посоките двойка само да знаеш кога да заемаш позиция --- просто къде сложиш все печелиш...

[koko]

EUR/JPY

EUR/JPYwas only able to manage 20 pt gains over the US session despite a further rise in oil prices with more negative economic news from the Eurozone continuing to hamper attempts by this cross to rally. EU Alumina stated that the 2005 growth forecast is to be revised lower due to higher oil, and ECB Issing"s appeared on CNBC inferring concern over oil prices as well. The Greek Central Bank"s Garganas was also quoted in AFX worried over a "hard landing" if the USD continues to fall. UER/JPY gains were limited to 136.60/65 and the cross has slipped back to 136.14and under the opening levels of 136.43. News from VWD that the EU is consideringreleasing oil reserves is seen weighing on the cross too since this could see oil prices slip, underpinning JPY. Stops on EUR/JPY are seen at 136.70 and more at slightly higher levels but strong selling is lined up in the 137.10- 40 range. Stops on the downside are tipped at 135.80 of EUR/JPY continues to fall

[Наблюдаващ]

Петър

Или по-конкретно - поддържаш ли още прогнозата си за 202 и как се "вързва" със скъсяването на кабела?

[koko]

EUR/JPY

EUR/JPY trades at 136.30 and holds under the opening levels seen thismorning in NY. The pessimistic outlook for the Eurozone economy continues to weigh on the cross. Reuters reports that HVB bank noted that the reference to job layoffs in German newspapers rose to 351 in October from 128 the prior month, reaching the highest level since mid-2002. This is raising concerns that the GfK data due at the end of the month will show a further decline in German consumer confidence. This would continue to cap EUR/JPY on rallies. The weak conditions in the Eurozone continue to push European yields lower. Eurozone government bond futures hit an 18 month high on price as yields fell. This continues to weigh on the EUR Bund spread over JGBs. The spread dipped under 240bp today and the base of the recent range. The lowest levels since 1999were seen this month at 237 bp and a break under this level is likely to furtherstall further EUR/JPY gains. Stops are eyed above 136.70 with support at 136.20 & 135.75/80 on dips.

[Наблюдаващ]

Петър

Ами нали всички това правим - гледаме графиките :-) Кажи тогава за GBP/JPY

[gostenche]

EUR/ USD

ФОКУС: Курс доллара продолжает снижаться, по ожиданиям евро достигнет уровня 1.30 usd через три месяца
Лондон: Согласно ожиданиям, спад курса доллара усилится в ближайшие месяцы, на фоне растущего беспокойства относительно состояния экономики США, в частности вопросом финансирования растущего дефицита платежного баланса. Курс доллара снизился до минимума за восемь месяцев против евро и швейцарского франка в среду, и до минимума за три месяца проти йены, и ожидается продолжение снижения курса. По мнению аналитиков, курс евро будет двигаться с отметки в 1.26 usd к уровню 1.27/1.28 usd в следующем месяце, в то время как в последующие три месяца, евро, скорее всего, протестирует топ в 1.2929 usd, достигнутый в феврале этого года. "

Петър

Наблюдаващ - това е единствената двойка - USD/JPY - която не търгувам.Кросовете на йената да но USD/JPY - никога.Какво да ти коментирам - гледай графиката :-)

[Наблюдаващ]

Петър

Ще споделиш ли виждане за USD/JPY (във връзка с GBP/JPY)?

[koko]

e/$

Нафта - злато - всички спят.....