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Здравейте на всички.
Чета мнения на хора които много уважавам, за кроса евро/йена и след това гледам графиката й на всевъзмовни времеви интервали.
Извода до който стигнах е че съм много найвен, че залагам на дълги.(малко вероятно да гледаме различни графики при този крос, пък и двата ми посредника да са се объркали ?)
Пожелавам ви големи печалби в кроса(ако ги отиграете де).
До скоро виждане и лек ден на всички в форума.
Чета мнения на хора които много уважавам, за кроса евро/йена и след това гледам графиката й на всевъзмовни времеви интервали.
Извода до който стигнах е че съм много найвен, че залагам на дълги.(малко вероятно да гледаме различни графики при този крос, пък и двата ми посредника да са се объркали ?)
Пожелавам ви големи печалби в кроса(ако ги отиграете де).
До скоро виждане и лек ден на всички в форума.
Та в този смисъл сега видях и едитор пика на редактора на Томпсън и си спомних за този случай хехе
Ето ти неговите мисли
I have known two traders over the last 7 years who have made it big. They have made millions of dollars in the space of months rather than years, and whilst they may have other issues, money is not now one of them. In neither case did they start with massive trading accounts; both started out with $50k in the bag and multiplied it by a factor of 50. How did they do it you ask?
Firstly they had a view. In one case it was crude oil and in the other case it was EUR/USD and AUD/USD. Both traders believed that the market was trading at the wrong levels and was about to move significantly. They took core positions and, this is key, they kept the core positions. The EUR/USD trader did not worry about resistance at 1.09 holding and the market dipping back to 1.02. He stayed long because he believed in his view and was prepared to be wrong. The oil trader believed that crude would trade above $100, even though it was trading around $30 when I first spoke with him. He didn't sell at $40, or $50 or $75, even though it must have been sorely tempting. No, he stayed long and reaped the benefit.
Don't waste your time and energy by taking positions which you do not believe in. Wait until you are convinced and then enter the market. Set a monetary stop-loss figure which you can afford and then enter the market in stages. Have a target in the back of your mind which you think the market can achieve and try and keep your core position until the target has been reached. (This is an excellent psychological exercise which will improve your ability to win as well as lose!)
All that is leading up to my cards-on-the-table trade. USD/JPY is in a downward trend and will go lower. EUR/USD is overvalued and will fall. Financial authorities have already told us something similar; they want EUR lower and the Yuan higher. I am using the JPY as a proxy for the CNY among the major currencies. Therefore the trade is to sell EUR/JPY with a minimum target at 130 and a possible extension to 110.
I believe the EUR/USD will fall into the 1.40s and may even get into the 1.30s with enough political will power. I also believe that USD/JPY will initially fall to around 90 and that it may eventually fall to the historic low at 80 and below. All this adds up to a perfect storm in EUR/JPY and the optimal way to trade it is through the legs.
Well I have been wrong before but at least I've got a very strong view.
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